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Indianapolis at Minnesota
Sun Nov 3, 2024
8:20pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Indianapolis at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Minnesota by 6, Total Points: 47
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | IND | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 7-4-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-0-0 | 1-1-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 3-3-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 4-2-1 |
Indianapolis Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Home | Houston | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 09/15 | Away | Green Bay | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 09/29 | Home | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 10/06 | Away | Jacksonville | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/13 | Away | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 3 | +5.0 |
| 10/20 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Houston | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/03 | Away | Minnesota | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Buffalo | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | NY Jets | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Detroit | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | New England | -2.5 | W by 1 | -1.5 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Away | NY Giants | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 09/15 | Home | San Francisco | +4.0 | W by 6 | +10.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | Houston | +1.5 | W by 27 | +28.5 |
| 09/29 | Away | Green Bay | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 10/06 | Neutral | NY Jets | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 10/20 | Home | Detroit | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 10/24 | Away | LA Rams | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 11/03 | Home | Indianapolis | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Jacksonville | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Tennessee | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Chicago | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Arizona | -3.5 | W by 1 | -2.5 |
| MIN -6.0 | Open | -1.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019 NFL season there have been 217 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like Minnesota won the game 140 times (64.5%).
- The team like Indianapolis won the game 75 times (34.6%).
- The team like Indianapolis did better against the spread, going 127-83-7 (60.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021 NFL season there have been 156 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Indianapolis did better against the spread, going 80-72-4 (52.6% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/03 08:23 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 08:17 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 08:08 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 07:48 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/03 07:44 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 07:41 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 07:26 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 07:20 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 06:56 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/03 04:56 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 04:38 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 03:08 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 12:43 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 12:24 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/03 12:13 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 11:28 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 10:40 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 08:08 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 07:44 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 07:03 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 06:17 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 01:47 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 06:19 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 04:14 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 01:38 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 07:59 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 02:02 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 10:49 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:58 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 06:25 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/30 01:01 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 12:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 11:41 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/29 04:49 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 04:26 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 02:42 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 01:44 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 01:35 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 12:20 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 03:40 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 09:36 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:40 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:32 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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