ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv NE
Season 10-8-0 5-11-1
vs Division 4-2-0 3-3-0
vs Conference 6-7-0 5-6-1
Streak L3 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-1-1
Last 10 4-6-0 3-6-1
Home 6-3-0 1-6-1
Away 4-5-0 4-5-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/10 Away LA Chargers +3.0 W by 2 +5.0
09/17 Away New England -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
09/24 Home Denver -6.0 W by 50 +44.0
10/01 Away Buffalo +3.0 L by 28 -25.0
10/08 Home NY Giants -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
10/15 Home Carolina -14.0 W by 21 +7.0
10/22 Away Philadelphia +3.0 L by 14 -11.0
10/29 Home New England -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
11/05 Neutral Kansas City +1.0 L by 7 -6.0
11/19 Home Las Vegas -14.0 W by 7 -7.0
11/24 Away NY Jets -9.5 W by 21 +11.5
12/03 Away Washington -9.0 W by 30 +21.0
12/11 Home Tennessee -13.5 L by 1 -14.5
12/17 Home NY Jets -7.0 W by 30 +23.0
12/24 Home Dallas -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
12/31 Away Baltimore +3.0 L by 37 -34.0
01/07 Home Buffalo +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/13 Away Kansas City +4.5 L by 19 -14.5

New England Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/10 Home Philadelphia +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
09/17 Home Miami +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
09/24 Away NY Jets -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
10/01 Away Dallas +6.0 L by 35 -29.0
10/08 Home New Orleans -2.0 L by 34 -36.0
10/15 Away Las Vegas +3.0 L by 4 -1.0
10/22 Home Buffalo +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
10/29 Away Miami +7.5 L by 14 -6.5
11/05 Home Washington -3.0 L by 3 -6.0
11/12 Neutral Indianapolis +1.0 L by 4 -3.0
11/26 Away NY Giants -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/03 Home LA Chargers +4.5 L by 6 -1.5
12/07 Away Pittsburgh +5.0 W by 3 +8.0
12/17 Home Kansas City +10.0 L by 10 0.0
12/24 Away Denver +7.0 W by 3 +10.0
12/31 Away Buffalo +15.0 L by 6 +9.0
01/07 Home NY Jets -2.0 L by 14 -16.0
NE -7.5 Open -6.5 High -7.5
Last -7.0 Low -6.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015 NFL season there have been 222 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:

  • The team like New England won the game 161 times (72.5%).
  • The team like Miami won the game 61 times (27.5%).
  • The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 108-104-10 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017 NFL season there have been 6 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 5-1 (83.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -7.5 -7.5 -7.0
Open -7.0 -6.0 -6.5
History
09/13 01:04 PM -- -7.5 --
09/13 12:58 PM -7.5 -- --
09/13 12:44 PM -- -7.5 --
09/13 12:44 PM -7.5 -- --
09/13 12:17 PM -7.5 -- --
09/13 12:14 PM -- -7.5 --
09/13 11:47 AM -7.5 -- --
09/13 11:44 AM -- -7.5 --
09/13 11:35 AM -- -- -7.0
09/13 11:05 AM -7.5 -- --
09/13 10:55 AM -- -- -7.0
09/13 10:54 AM -- -7.5 --
09/13 10:38 AM -7.5 -- --
09/13 10:35 AM -- -- -7.0
09/13 10:34 AM -- -7.5 --
09/13 09:55 AM -- -- -7.0
09/13 09:35 AM -- -- -7.0
09/13 08:24 AM -- -7.5 --
09/13 08:22 AM -7.5 -- --
09/13 07:40 AM -7.5 -- --
09/13 07:34 AM -7.5 -- --
09/13 06:28 AM -7.0 -- --
09/13 06:24 AM -- -7.0 --
09/13 05:37 AM -7.0 -- --
09/13 04:35 AM -7.0 -- --
09/13 12:14 AM -7.0 -- --
09/12 10:04 PM -7.0 -- --
09/12 06:16 AM -7.0 -- --
09/12 05:24 AM -- -7.0 --
09/12 04:08 AM -7.0 -- --
09/12 02:24 AM -- -7.0 --
09/12 12:28 AM -7.0 -- --
09/11 10:34 PM -- -7.0 --
09/11 08:04 PM -- -7.0 --
09/11 07:34 PM -- -7.0 --
09/11 07:25 PM -- -- -7.0
09/11 07:17 PM -7.0 -- --
09/11 05:50 PM -6.5 -- --
09/11 05:47 PM -6.5 -- --
09/11 05:14 PM -- -6.5 --
09/11 04:56 PM -6.5 -- --
09/11 04:55 PM -- -- -6.5
09/11 11:38 AM -6.5 -- --
09/11 08:31 AM -6.5 -- --
09/10 06:04 PM -- -6.5 --
09/10 05:53 PM -6.5 -- --
09/10 05:14 PM -- -6.5 --
09/10 05:02 PM -6.5 -- --
09/10 04:26 PM -6.5 -- --
09/10 01:35 PM -6.5 -- --
09/10 12:54 PM -- -6.5 --
09/10 11:14 AM -- -6.5 --
09/10 11:05 AM -6.5 -- --
09/09 06:44 PM -- -6.5 --
09/09 04:53 PM -6.5 -- --
09/09 04:44 PM -- -6.5 --
09/09 04:04 PM -- -6.5 --
09/09 03:56 PM -6.5 -- --
09/09 01:04 PM -- -6.5 --
09/09 12:34 PM -- -6.5 --
09/09 09:24 AM -- -6.5 --
09/09 08:54 AM -- -6.5 --
09/09 08:14 AM -- -6.5 --
09/09 07:25 AM -6.5 -- --
09/09 05:44 AM -- -6.5 --
09/09 05:37 AM -6.5 -- --
09/09 03:25 AM -6.5 -- --
09/08 10:41 PM -6.5 -- --
09/08 10:13 PM -6.5 -- --
09/08 04:04 PM -- -6.5 --
09/08 03:55 PM -- -- -6.5
09/08 02:17 PM -6.5 -- --
09/08 10:20 AM -6.5 -- --
09/08 03:28 AM -6.5 -- --
09/08 01:28 AM -6.5 -- --
09/07 09:59 PM -6.5 -- --
09/07 03:35 PM -- -- -6.5
09/07 12:14 AM -- -6.5 --
09/06 11:59 PM -6.5 -- --
09/06 05:54 PM -- -6.0 --
09/06 05:24 PM -- -6.0 --
09/06 05:08 PM -6.0 -- --
09/06 04:44 PM -- -6.0 --
09/06 04:14 PM -- -6.0 --
09/06 04:04 PM -- -6.0 --
09/06 03:58 PM -6.0 -- --
09/06 03:34 PM -- -6.0 --
09/06 03:24 PM -- -6.0 --
09/06 02:44 PM -- -6.0 --
09/06 01:44 PM -- -6.0 --
09/06 01:14 PM -- -6.0 --
09/05 10:41 AM -6.0 -- --
09/04 06:32 PM -6.0 -- --
09/04 05:02 PM -6.0 -- --
09/04 04:05 PM -6.0 -- --
09/04 03:26 PM -6.0 -- --
09/04 02:59 PM -6.0 -- --
09/03 05:19 PM -6.0 -- --
08/31 10:52 PM -6.0 -- --
08/24 10:14 AM -7.0 -- --
08/18 09:55 AM -- -- -6.0
08/15 11:22 AM -7.0 -- --
08/11 05:41 PM -7.0 -- --
08/11 06:58 AM -7.0 -- --
08/06 11:25 AM -- -- -6.5
07/30 05:47 AM -7.0 -- --
07/29 12:54 PM -- -6.0 --