Over/Under Situational Trends

Record MIA NE
Season 9-9-0 7-10-0
vs Division 3-3-0 3-3-0
vs Conference 7-6-0 6-6-0
Streak Un 2 Un 1
Last 5 1-4-0 4-1-0
Last 10 4-6-0 5-5-0
Home 4-5-0 3-5-0
Away 5-4-0 4-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
09/10 Away LA Chargers 50.0 36-34 Over +20.0
09/17 Away New England 46.0 24-17 Under -5.0
09/24 Home Denver 47.5 70-20 Over +42.5
10/01 Away Buffalo 52.5 20-48 Over +15.5
10/08 Home NY Giants 48.0 31-16 Under -1.0
10/15 Home Carolina 47.0 42-21 Over +16.0
10/22 Away Philadelphia 52.0 17-31 Under -4.0
10/29 Home New England 46.5 31-17 Over +1.5
11/05 Neutral Kansas City 51.5 14-21 Under -16.5
11/19 Home Las Vegas 44.5 20-13 Under -11.5
11/24 Away NY Jets 40.0 34-13 Over +7.0
12/03 Away Washington 49.5 45-15 Over +10.5
12/11 Home Tennessee 44.5 27-28 Over +10.5
12/17 Home NY Jets 36.0 30-0 Under -6.0
12/24 Home Dallas 48.5 22-20 Under -6.5
12/31 Away Baltimore 47.0 19-56 Over +28.0
01/07 Home Buffalo 48.0 14-21 Under -13.0
01/13 Away Kansas City 43.5 7-26 Under -10.5

New England Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
09/10 Home Philadelphia 44.0 20-25 Over +1.0
09/17 Home Miami 46.0 17-24 Under -5.0
09/24 Away NY Jets 35.5 15-10 Under -10.5
10/01 Away Dallas 43.0 3-38 Under -2.0
10/08 Home New Orleans 38.5 0-34 Under -4.5
10/15 Away Las Vegas 42.0 17-21 Under -4.0
10/22 Home Buffalo 41.0 29-25 Over +13.0
10/29 Away Miami 46.5 17-31 Over +1.5
11/05 Home Washington 40.5 17-20 Under -3.5
11/12 Neutral Indianapolis 42.5 6-10 Under -26.5
11/26 Away NY Giants 36.0 7-10 Under -19.0
12/03 Home LA Chargers 38.5 0-6 Under -32.5
12/07 Away Pittsburgh 30.5 21-18 Over +8.5
12/17 Home Kansas City 39.5 17-27 Over +4.5
12/24 Away Denver 37.5 26-23 Over +11.5
12/31 Away Buffalo 40.0 21-27 Over +8.0
01/07 Home NY Jets 28.5 3-17 Under -8.5
Total 43.0 Open 45.5 High 45.5
Last 43.5 Low 43.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2016 NFL season there have been 269 games with over/under lines between 42 and 44. In these games:

  • Games have gone over the line 130 times (48.3%).
  • Games have gone under the line 138 times (51.3%).
  • Games have pushed the line 1 times (0.4%).

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2018 NFL season there have been 15 games where the closing over/under line moved 3.5 points lower than the opening over/under line.

In these games, the over performed better, going 8-7 (53.3%). Game totals went over the line by an average of 1.5 points.

Totals History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

  Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current 43.0 43.5 43.0
Open 45.5 46.0 45.5
History
09/12 04:23 PM 43.0 -- --
09/12 04:17 PM 43.0 -- --
09/12 04:05 PM -- -- 43.0
09/12 04:04 PM -- 43.5 --
09/12 03:25 PM 43.0 -- --
09/12 03:14 PM 43.0 -- --
09/12 12:47 PM 43.0 -- --
09/12 09:56 AM 43.5 -- --
09/11 06:32 AM 43.5 -- --
09/10 03:00 PM 43.5 -- --
09/09 10:20 AM 43.5 -- --
09/09 10:14 AM -- 43.5 --
09/08 08:15 AM -- -- 43.5
09/08 07:27 AM -- 43.5 --
09/07 05:50 PM 43.5 -- --
09/07 01:44 PM 43.5 -- --
09/07 11:35 AM -- -- 43.0
09/05 12:05 PM -- -- 43.5
09/05 11:50 AM 43.5 -- --
09/05 11:05 AM -- -- 43.5
09/04 09:45 AM -- -- 43.5
09/04 01:32 AM 43.5 -- --
09/03 10:35 AM 43.5 -- --
09/03 10:24 AM -- 44.0 --
09/03 12:35 AM 43.0 -- --
09/02 02:59 PM 43.5 -- --
09/02 01:35 AM 44.0 -- --
09/01 01:02 AM 44.0 -- --
08/31 04:15 PM -- -- 44.0
08/31 10:24 AM -- 44.5 --
08/30 04:17 PM 44.0 -- --
08/24 07:35 PM -- -- 44.5
08/24 07:29 PM 45.0 -- --
08/22 04:44 PM -- 45.0 --
08/22 08:26 AM 45.0 -- --
08/06 03:53 PM 45.5 -- --
07/26 10:04 AM -- 45.5 --
07/05 09:44 PM -- 45.5 --
05/17 02:13 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 10:35 PM -- 45.5 --
05/16 09:24 PM -- 45.5 --
05/16 08:44 PM -- 45.5 --
05/16 08:04 PM -- 45.5 --
05/16 07:34 PM -- 45.5 --
05/16 06:44 PM -- 45.5 --
05/16 06:16 PM -- 45.5 --
05/16 05:26 PM -- 45.5 --
05/16 04:49 PM -- 45.5 --
05/16 12:24 PM -- 45.5 --
05/16 11:44 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 10:54 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 10:24 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 09:43 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 09:14 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 08:34 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 07:34 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 06:54 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 05:54 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 04:43 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 03:54 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 03:03 AM -- 45.5 --
05/16 01:54 AM -- 45.5 --
05/15 10:43 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 09:43 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 09:14 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 08:34 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 08:14 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 07:43 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 07:34 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 06:34 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 06:14 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 05:44 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 01:44 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 12:44 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 12:14 PM -- 45.5 --
05/15 11:35 AM -- -- 45.0
05/15 11:34 AM -- 45.5 --
05/15 11:26 AM 45.5 -- --
05/14 07:35 PM -- -- 45.5
05/13 09:23 AM 45.5 -- --
05/12 01:44 PM -- 45.5 --
05/12 12:44 PM -- 46.0 --