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Detroit at Minnesota
Sun Oct 20, 2024
1:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Detroit at Minnesota: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Minnesota by 1.5, Total Points: 49.5
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | DET | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 4-8-0 |
| vs Division | 1-2-0 | 3-0-0 |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 4-3-0 |
| Streak | Un 2 | Un 1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 1-4-0 |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 3-4-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Detroit Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Home | LA Rams | 53.5 | 26-20 | Under | -7.5 |
| 09/15 | Home | Tampa Bay | 52.0 | 16-20 | Under | -16.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | Arizona | 51.5 | 20-13 | Under | -18.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Seattle | 47.0 | 42-29 | Over | +24.0 |
| 10/13 | Away | Dallas | 53.0 | 47-9 | Over | +3.0 |
| 10/20 | Away | Minnesota | 49.5 | 31-29 | Over | +10.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Tennessee | 45.5 | 52-14 | Over | +20.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Green Bay | 48.5 | 24-14 | Under | -10.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Houston | 49.5 | 26-23 | Under | -0.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Jacksonville | 47.5 | 52-6 | Over | +10.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Indianapolis | 50.5 | 24-6 | Under | -20.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Chicago | 48.0 | 23-20 | Under | -5.0 |
Minnesota Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Away | NY Giants | 42.0 | 28-6 | Under | -8.0 |
| 09/15 | Home | San Francisco | 46.5 | 23-17 | Under | -6.5 |
| 09/22 | Home | Houston | 47.0 | 34-7 | Under | -6.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | Green Bay | 44.5 | 31-29 | Over | +15.5 |
| 10/06 | Neutral | NY Jets | 42.0 | 23-17 | Under | -2.0 |
| 10/20 | Home | Detroit | 49.5 | 29-31 | Over | +10.5 |
| 10/24 | Away | LA Rams | 46.5 | 20-30 | Over | +3.5 |
| 11/03 | Home | Indianapolis | 47.0 | 21-13 | Under | -13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Jacksonville | 42.5 | 12-7 | Under | -23.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Tennessee | 40.0 | 23-13 | Under | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Chicago | 39.5 | 30-27 | Over | +17.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Arizona | 45.5 | 23-22 | Under | -0.5 |
| Total 49.5 | Open | 48.0 | High | 51.5 |
| Last | 50.0 | Low | 48.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019 NFL season there have been 186 games with over/under lines between 48.5 and 50.5. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 86 times (46.2%).
- Games have gone under the line 98 times (52.7%).
- Games have pushed the line 2 times (1.1%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021 NFL season there have been 106 games where the closing over/under line was 0.5 points higher than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the over performed better, going 55-50-1 (52.4%). Game totals went over the line by an average of 2.3 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 49.5 | 50.0 | -- |
| Open | 51.5 | 49.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/20 12:59 PM | 49.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 12:55 PM | 49.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 12:48 PM | 49.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 12:40 PM | -- | 50.0 | -- |
| 10/20 12:19 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 11:59 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 11:43 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 11:37 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 11:32 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 10/20 11:07 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 09:46 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 07:26 AM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 06:44 AM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 04:26 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 01:35 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 08:39 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 06:54 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 10:26 AM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 08:51 AM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 06:34 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 10/16 05:59 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 05:42 PM | -- | 51.0 | -- |
| 10/16 05:41 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:59 PM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 03:47 PM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:14 PM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 04:55 PM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 03:47 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 03:43 PM | -- | 50.0 | -- |
| 10/15 12:21 PM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 11:19 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 10:08 PM | 49.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 05:04 PM | 49.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 03:59 PM | 49.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 11:14 AM | -- | 49.5 | -- |
| 10/14 11:11 AM | 49.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 11:08 AM | -- | 50.0 | -- |
| 10/14 11:06 AM | 49.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 10:58 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 09:32 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 09:30 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 10/14 09:29 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 03:05 AM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 09:19 PM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 09:11 PM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 08:15 PM | 51.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 07:40 PM | -- | 51.5 | -- |
| 10/13 07:16 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 10/13 07:12 PM | -- | 49.5 | -- |
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