New England (Away) Miami (Home)
Win Odds 49.2% 50.8%
Spread +3.0 -3.0
Cover Odds 58.8% 41.2%
Proj Score 20.5 19.7

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
09/11/22 New England 28.0 28.9 +0.9 49.2% 50.8% Miami 29.0 27.2 +6.1
 
Team Like New England Team Like Miami
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 21.2 09/11/11 Detroit 31.5 28.6 -2.9 27 20 Tampa Bay 29.4 28.0 +5.9
2 21.7 09/10/17 Baltimore 24.8 25.5 0.0 20 0 Cincinnati 24.5 27.0 +4.7
3 21.8 09/11/06 Minnesota 32.2 29.4 +5.1 19 16 Washington 29.7 28.3 +10.0
4 23.1 09/08/19 Atlanta 24.9 25.5 +0.1 12 28 Minnesota 24.8 25.9 +0.3
5 24.2 09/19/16 Philadelphia 24.3 24.5 +19.0 29 14 Chicago 20.3 22.7 -9.0
6 24.4 09/23/07 Cincinnati 25.6 25.7 +0.5 21 24 Seattle 24.5 25.0 +5.5
7 24.9 09/10/17 Las Vegas 29.9 27.0 -1.6 26 16 Tennessee 28.8 26.3 +1.7
8 25.4 09/25/16 NY Jets 27.2 28.4 +2.5 3 24 Kansas City 29.3 28.3 -0.5
9 26.0 09/19/04 Indianapolis 35.9 30.9 -3.0 31 17 Tennessee 38.7 32.0 +10.0
10 26.5 09/20/15 LA Chargers 32.4 27.2 +5.0 19 24 Cincinnati 32.2 28.5 +20.0
11 26.5 09/20/15 Seattle 33.0 32.0 -3.0 17 27 Green Bay 33.0 29.4 +8.0
12 26.7 09/11/16 Chicago 23.0 24.7 -3.9 14 23 Houston 24.8 24.7 +2.3
13 26.8 09/19/10 Kansas City 23.6 23.9 +7.0 16 14 Cleveland 20.3 23.1 -3.0
14 26.8 09/09/04 Indianapolis 36.5 31.2 +7.1 24 27 New England 45.3 33.9 +11.1
15 26.9 09/13/04 Green Bay 33.5 32.8 +12.4 24 14 Carolina 34.9 29.7 +7.9
16 27.6 09/13/15 Baltimore 30.6 30.0 +4.1 13 19 Denver 31.1 28.8 +6.9
17 27.9 09/08/13 Cincinnati 30.0 29.2 +7.7 21 24 Chicago 27.6 27.4 -1.6
18 28.2 09/12/04 Seattle 24.9 27.7 +1.6 21 7 New Orleans 26.3 26.6 +4.3
19 28.4 09/07/03 Las Vegas 33.5 32.5 +8.6 20 25 Tennessee 33.9 29.7 +6.3
20 28.4 09/09/18 Washington 23.4 23.5 -3.0 24 6 Arizona 27.0 25.1 +0.3
21 28.5 09/21/08 Jacksonville 25.7 27.2 -5.5 23 21 Indianapolis 27.3 27.9 -6.5
22 29.0 09/09/07 Kansas City 26.8 26.5 -2.0 3 20 Houston 27.0 25.4 -5.3
23 29.2 09/23/18 Cincinnati 34.4 31.2 +11.0 21 31 Carolina 30.6 28.0 +0.5
24 29.5 09/12/04 Kansas City 25.8 26.7 +1.9 24 34 Denver 27.7 26.7 -2.7
25 29.7 09/13/09 NY Jets 22.0 23.1 -2.3 24 7 Houston 27.0 25.6 +2.4
26 29.7 09/07/08 Houston 27.4 27.4 +2.6 17 38 Pittsburgh 21.1 25.0 -0.3
27 29.8 09/20/15 Houston 20.0 24.5 -7.0 17 24 Carolina 26.9 26.1 +11.0
28 30.3 09/27/09 Atlanta 34.6 28.2 +10.0 10 26 New England 30.6 28.4 -3.0
29 30.3 09/13/10 Baltimore 31.1 30.0 +9.0 10 9 NY Jets 33.6 30.7 +10.1
30 30.8 09/13/15 Detroit 27.3 26.6 +0.4 28 33 LA Chargers 26.5 24.3 -2.7
31 31.1 09/19/21 Dallas 24.0 27.4 -2.0 20 17 LA Chargers 34.7 27.6 +4.0
32 31.3 09/10/17 Jacksonville 17.8 22.9 -2.4 29 7 Houston 27.2 25.1 -1.7
33 31.3 09/12/04 Detroit 19.3 22.0 -7.7 20 16 Chicago 21.7 23.1 -0.4
34 31.4 09/11/17 New Orleans 26.7 27.7 +1.9 19 29 Minnesota 20.8 24.1 -0.4
35 31.4 09/30/18 Cincinnati 33.3 31.1 +4.0 37 36 Atlanta 28.5 28.0 -1.7
36 31.8 09/09/18 Kansas City 23.0 25.5 +4.7 38 28 LA Chargers 29.4 29.3 +12.6
37 31.9 09/19/10 NY Giants 27.6 27.4 +13.0 14 38 Indianapolis 30.1 27.6 -10.0
38 32.2 09/10/06 Baltimore 25.2 25.5 +5.3 27 0 Tampa Bay 25.6 24.9 -0.6
39 32.2 10/14/07 Washington 31.2 29.6 +8.8 14 17 Green Bay 32.3 29.1 +6.4
40 32.3 09/12/10 Denver 17.5 21.5 -2.0 17 24 Jacksonville 20.3 21.0 -7.3
41 32.5 10/15/06 NY Giants 35.1 29.9 +1.3 27 14 Atlanta 30.8 29.0 +6.8
42 32.6 10/01/17 Detroit 31.6 28.9 +7.3 14 7 Minnesota 29.6 27.0 +3.3
43 32.7 09/07/03 Indianapolis 27.1 25.2 -5.3 9 6 Cleveland 28.3 27.3 +0.6
44 32.7 09/10/07 Arizona 22.7 22.7 +0.6 17 20 San Francisco 23.8 22.2 -3.6
45 32.9 10/18/09 Arizona 24.2 25.8 -1.0 27 3 Seattle 24.3 27.6 +6.6
46 33.0 09/23/12 Atlanta 30.7 27.0 +11.0 27 3 LA Chargers 29.4 28.6 +18.0
47 33.1 09/11/11 Buffalo 24.0 23.1 -8.7 41 7 Kansas City 19.8 21.7 -2.7
48 33.1 09/16/18 Carolina 34.4 30.2 +8.0 24 31 Atlanta 34.0 31.6 -6.0
49 33.2 09/18/17 Detroit 25.6 23.2 +12.0 24 10 NY Giants 23.1 21.4 -16.0
50 33.2 09/27/20 Cincinnati 13.1 20.9 -4.0 23 23 Philadelphia 15.9 18.3 -14.0
51 33.4 09/18/05 LA Chargers 23.7 26.0 -4.0 17 20 Denver 24.0 23.6 -24.0
52 33.5 09/12/21 LA Chargers 29.3 25.8 -3.3 20 16 Washington 23.3 26.0 +3.6
53 33.6 09/21/03 New Orleans 26.3 26.5 +2.0 12 27 Tennessee 30.5 25.9 -10.5
54 33.7 09/23/07 Dallas 26.6 27.4 +13.5 34 10 Chicago 29.8 26.8 -0.5
55 33.8 09/13/15 Kansas City 28.7 28.0 +0.9 27 20 Houston 27.6 27.9 +8.0
56 33.9 09/24/06 Cincinnati 33.0 31.4 +15.0 28 20 Pittsburgh 38.1 32.9 +1.0
57 33.9 09/11/05 Seattle 21.7 21.1 -7.7 14 26 Jacksonville 23.5 23.8 -1.0
58 34.0 09/17/18 Seattle 18.6 22.1 -3.0 17 24 Chicago 19.2 24.4 -1.0
59 34.0 09/24/06 NY Giants 26.5 26.4 +0.5 30 42 Seattle 34.7 29.5 +7.0
60 34.0 09/15/19 Minnesota 30.2 29.0 +16.0 16 21 Green Bay 29.4 27.2 +7.0
61 34.1 10/17/21 Las Vegas 28.9 23.4 -1.4 34 24 Denver 19.2 21.6 +5.2
62 34.4 09/15/19 New Orleans 32.0 27.8 +2.0 9 27 LA Rams 34.3 28.8 +3.0
63 34.5 09/07/03 New England 24.8 25.0 -1.3 0 31 Buffalo 22.9 24.6 +0.4
64 34.5 09/21/08 New Orleans 27.2 27.6 -0.5 32 34 Denver 31.0 29.4 +14.0
65 34.5 09/11/05 Green Bay 21.8 22.7 +0.6 3 17 Detroit 14.7 20.0 -3.4
66 34.6 09/12/21 Miami 30.3 26.6 -0.4 17 16 New England 25.0 24.0 -0.7
67 34.7 09/20/04 Minnesota 31.1 31.2 +18.0 16 27 Philadelphia 31.2 29.2 +14.0
68 34.8 09/30/18 Detroit 16.0 20.9 -6.0 24 26 Dallas 14.9 20.2 -4.0
69 34.9 09/11/11 Seattle 20.0 20.1 -5.3 17 33 San Francisco 19.0 21.5 -0.4
70 35.1 09/07/08 Tampa Bay 21.9 23.9 +1.4 20 24 New Orleans 22.3 24.4 +1.7
71 35.2 09/22/19 Atlanta 26.0 23.6 -6.0 24 27 Indianapolis 30.4 28.2 -2.0
72 35.2 09/20/15 New England 42.4 35.4 +7.0 40 32 Buffalo 39.4 34.3 +13.0
73 35.5 09/18/05 LA Rams 17.8 18.7 -3.0 17 12 Arizona 14.8 16.8 -23.0
74 35.6 10/04/21 Las Vegas 39.7 28.6 +6.0 14 28 LA Chargers 36.2 30.8 +2.3
75 35.6 10/05/14 Kansas City 24.6 27.8 +5.8 17 22 San Francisco 33.2 28.6 -0.3