Over/Under Situational Trends

Record LV TB
Season 9-8-0 12-6-0
vs Division 4-2-0 6-0-0
vs Conference 8-4-0 9-4-0
Streak Ov 1 Un 1
Last 5 1-4-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-5-0 6-4-0
Home 5-3-0 6-4-0
Away 4-5-0 6-2-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Las Vegas Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
09/08 Away LA Chargers 41.0 10-22 Under -9.0
09/15 Away Baltimore 42.5 26-23 Over +6.5
09/22 Home Carolina 40.0 22-36 Over +18.0
09/29 Home Cleveland 37.0 20-16 Under -1.0
10/06 Away Denver 36.0 18-34 Over +16.0
10/13 Home Pittsburgh 37.0 13-32 Over +8.0
10/20 Away LA Rams 43.5 15-20 Under -8.5
10/27 Home Kansas City 43.0 20-27 Over +4.0
11/03 Away Cincinnati 44.0 24-41 Over +21.0
11/17 Away Miami 43.5 19-34 Over +9.5
11/24 Home Denver 41.5 19-29 Over +6.5
11/29 Away Kansas City 42.0 17-19 Under -6.0
12/08 Away Tampa Bay 47.0 13-28 Under -6.0
12/16 Home Atlanta 44.5 9-15 Under -20.5
12/22 Home Jacksonville 41.5 19-14 Under -8.5
12/29 Away New Orleans 37.5 25-10 Under -2.5
01/05 Home LA Chargers 42.0 20-34 Over +12.0

Tampa Bay Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
09/08 Home Washington 42.5 37-20 Over +14.5
09/15 Away Detroit 52.0 20-16 Under -16.0
09/22 Home Denver 40.5 7-26 Under -7.5
09/29 Home Philadelphia 42.0 33-16 Over +7.0
10/03 Away Atlanta 44.0 30-36 Over +22.0
10/13 Away New Orleans 42.5 51-27 Over +35.5
10/21 Home Baltimore 51.0 31-41 Over +21.0
10/27 Home Atlanta 48.0 26-31 Over +9.0
11/04 Away Kansas City 45.5 24-30 Over +8.5
11/10 Home San Francisco 50.0 20-23 Under -7.0
11/24 Away NY Giants 40.0 30-7 Under -3.0
12/01 Away Carolina 46.0 26-23 Over +3.0
12/08 Home Las Vegas 47.0 28-13 Under -6.0
12/15 Away LA Chargers 45.5 40-17 Over +11.5
12/22 Away Dallas 47.0 24-26 Over +3.0
12/29 Home Carolina 47.5 48-14 Over +14.5
01/05 Home New Orleans 44.5 27-19 Over +1.5
01/12 Home Washington 51.5 20-23 Under -8.5
Total 47.0 Open 44.0 High 47.0
Last 46.5 Low 44.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2019 NFL season there have been 322 games with over/under lines between 46 and 48. In these games:

  • Games have gone over the line 158 times (49.1%).
  • Games have gone under the line 161 times (50.0%).
  • Games have pushed the line 3 times (0.9%).

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2021 NFL season there have been 92 games where the closing over/under line was 1.5 points higher than the opening over/under line.

In these games, the under performed better, going 52-38-2 (57.8%). Game totals went under the line by an average of 0.3 points.

Totals History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

  Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current 47.5 47.0 --
Open 44.5 44.5 --
History
12/08 01:02 PM 47.5 -- --
12/08 12:53 PM 47.5 -- --
12/08 12:38 PM 47.5 -- --
12/08 12:32 PM 47.0 -- --
12/08 11:59 AM 47.0 -- --
12/08 11:38 AM 47.0 -- --
12/08 11:15 AM 47.0 -- --
12/08 10:51 AM 47.0 -- --
12/08 10:31 AM -- 47.0 --
12/08 10:23 AM 47.0 -- --
12/08 09:41 AM 47.0 -- --
12/08 08:20 AM 47.0 -- --
12/08 08:11 AM 46.5 -- --
12/08 08:03 AM 47.0 -- --
12/08 07:54 AM 47.0 -- --
12/08 07:45 AM 47.0 -- --
12/07 05:11 PM 47.0 -- --
12/07 02:26 PM 46.5 -- --
12/07 02:23 PM 46.5 -- --
12/06 10:20 AM 46.5 -- --
12/05 01:47 PM 46.5 -- --
12/03 08:00 PM 46.5 -- --
12/03 04:47 PM 46.5 -- --
12/03 04:16 PM -- 46.5 --
12/03 01:41 PM 46.5 -- --
12/03 11:20 AM 47.0 -- --
12/03 10:25 AM -- 46.0 --
12/03 08:02 AM 46.0 -- --
12/03 06:35 AM 46.0 -- --
12/02 06:59 PM 45.5 -- --
12/02 05:49 PM 45.5 -- --
12/02 09:56 AM 45.5 -- --
12/02 08:32 AM 45.0 -- --
12/02 08:02 AM -- 45.0 --
12/01 11:28 PM 44.5 -- --
12/01 08:34 PM -- 44.5 --
12/01 08:17 PM 44.5 -- --
12/01 07:37 PM -- 44.5 --