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Baltimore at Buffalo
Sun Dec 8, 2019
1:00pm ET
Orchard Park, NY
Baltimore at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baltimore by 6, Total Points: 44
ATS Situational Trends (Last Season)
| Record | BAL | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-7-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-5-0 | 6-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Away | 6-2-0 | 3-6-0 |
Baltimore Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|
| BAL -6.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014 NFL season there have been 112 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baltimore won the game 88 times (78.6%).
- The team like Buffalo won the game 24 times (21.4%).
- The team like Baltimore did better against the spread, going 56-53-3 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016 NFL season there have been 303 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baltimore did better against the spread, going 151-136-16 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.0 |
| Open | -5.0 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/08 01:00 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:49 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/08 12:31 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:17 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:53 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/08 11:38 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:14 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/08 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/08 09:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/08 08:48 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/08 08:24 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/08 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/08 08:11 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:44 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:04 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/08 05:54 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 04:25 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 03:03 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 02:35 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/08 01:45 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:14 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/07 09:50 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:49 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/07 04:42 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 12:01 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:22 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:56 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:14 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/07 08:41 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 07:53 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 06:27 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 09:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/06 06:04 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:13 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:51 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:08 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 07:50 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/05 12:23 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/05 02:54 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/04 06:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/04 06:14 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:48 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 09:21 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/03 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/03 06:37 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 06:04 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/03 04:34 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/03 03:59 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 01:46 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 11:44 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/02 03:54 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/02 03:44 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 01:04 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/02 12:47 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 12:24 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/02 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/02 08:54 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 05:05 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 04:35 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 12:49 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 08:04 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/01 07:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/01 07:46 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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