Over/Under Situational Trends

Record BAL MIA
Season 9-8-0 9-7-0
vs Division 4-2-0 4-2-0
vs Conference 8-5-0 7-5-0
Streak Un 1 Ov 3
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-5-0 7-3-0
Home 4-5-0 5-3-0
Away 5-3-0 4-4-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Baltimore Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
09/08 Away Miami 41.0 59-10 Over +28.0
09/15 Home Arizona 46.0 23-17 Under -6.0
09/22 Away Kansas City 52.0 28-33 Over +9.0
09/29 Home Cleveland 47.0 25-40 Over +18.0
10/06 Away Pittsburgh 44.0 26-23 Over +5.0
10/13 Home Cincinnati 47.0 23-17 Under -7.0
10/20 Away Seattle 49.0 30-16 Under -3.0
11/03 Home New England 44.5 37-20 Over +12.5
11/10 Away Cincinnati 44.0 49-13 Over +18.0
11/17 Home Houston 51.0 41-7 Under -3.0
11/25 Away LA Rams 47.0 45-6 Over +4.0
12/01 Home San Francisco 45.0 20-17 Under -8.0
12/08 Away Buffalo 44.0 24-17 Under -3.0
12/12 Home NY Jets 44.0 42-21 Over +19.0
12/22 Away Cleveland 48.5 31-15 Under -2.5
12/29 Home Pittsburgh 35.0 28-10 Over +3.0
01/11 Home Tennessee 47.5 12-28 Under -7.5

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
09/08 Home Baltimore 41.0 10-59 Over +28.0
09/15 Home New England 48.5 0-43 Under -5.5
09/22 Away Dallas 46.5 6-31 Under -9.5
09/29 Home LA Chargers 43.5 10-30 Under -3.5
10/13 Home Washington 42.0 16-17 Under -9.0
10/20 Away Buffalo 42.5 21-31 Over +9.5
10/28 Away Pittsburgh 44.0 14-27 Under -3.0
11/03 Home NY Jets 42.5 26-18 Over +1.5
11/10 Away Indianapolis 44.5 16-12 Under -16.5
11/17 Home Buffalo 41.5 20-37 Over +15.5
11/24 Away Cleveland 45.5 24-41 Over +19.5
12/01 Home Philadelphia 45.0 37-31 Over +23.0
12/08 Away NY Jets 47.0 21-22 Under -4.0
12/15 Away NY Giants 47.0 20-36 Over +9.0
12/22 Home Cincinnati 46.0 38-35 Over +27.0
12/29 Away New England 46.0 27-24 Over +5.0
Total 41.0 Open 37.0 High 41.0
Last 40.5 Low 37.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2014 NFL season there have been 223 games with over/under lines between 40 and 42. In these games:

  • Games have gone over the line 106 times (47.5%)
  • Games have gone under the line 115 times (51.6%)
  • Games have pushed the line 2 times (0.9%)

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2016 NFL season there have been 7 games where the closing over/under line was 4 points higher than the opening over/under line.

In these games, the under performed better, going 4-3 (57.1%). Game totals went under the line by an average of 1.4 points.

Totals History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

  Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current 41.0 41.0 40.5
Open 37.0 37.0 37.5
History
09/08 01:05 PM -- 41.0 --
09/08 12:59 PM 41.0 -- --
09/08 12:58 PM -- -- 40.5
09/08 12:48 PM -- -- 40.5
09/08 12:48 PM 41.0 -- --
09/08 12:45 PM -- 40.5 --
09/08 12:05 PM -- 41.0 --
09/08 12:00 PM 40.5 -- --
09/08 11:48 AM -- -- 40.5
09/08 11:38 AM -- -- 40.0
09/08 11:35 AM 40.0 -- --
09/08 11:25 AM -- 40.5 --
09/08 11:08 AM -- -- 40.0
09/08 11:05 AM -- 40.5 --
09/08 11:02 AM 40.0 -- --
09/08 10:18 AM 40.0 -- --
09/08 10:05 AM -- 40.5 --
09/08 09:52 AM 40.0 -- --
09/08 09:03 AM 40.0 -- --
09/08 08:58 AM -- -- 40.0
09/08 08:38 AM -- -- 39.5
09/08 07:28 AM -- -- 39.5
09/08 06:39 AM 40.0 -- --
09/08 06:05 AM -- 40.0 --
09/08 03:42 AM 40.0 -- --
09/08 02:57 AM 40.0 -- --
09/08 01:18 AM -- -- 39.5
09/08 12:45 AM -- 40.0 --
09/07 10:05 PM -- 40.0 --
09/07 09:48 PM 40.0 -- --
09/07 06:02 PM 40.0 -- --
09/07 05:25 PM -- 40.0 --
09/07 04:04 PM 40.0 -- --
09/07 12:25 PM -- 40.0 --
09/07 11:54 AM 40.0 -- --
09/07 11:25 AM 40.0 -- --
09/07 10:19 AM 40.0 -- --
09/07 10:05 AM -- 40.0 --
09/07 09:40 AM 40.0 -- --
09/07 09:25 AM -- 40.0 --
09/07 09:01 AM 40.0 -- --
09/07 08:01 AM 39.5 -- --
09/07 05:38 AM -- -- 39.5
09/07 01:18 AM 39.0 -- --
09/06 09:18 PM 39.0 -- --
09/06 04:26 PM 39.0 -- --
09/06 02:01 PM 38.5 -- --
09/06 01:19 PM 38.5 -- --
09/06 11:35 AM -- 40.0 --
09/06 11:20 AM -- -- 39.5
09/06 11:16 AM 38.5 -- --
09/06 10:58 AM 38.5 -- --
09/06 08:55 AM -- 39.0 --
09/06 08:12 AM 38.5 -- --
09/05 11:32 PM 38.5 -- --
09/05 09:03 PM 38.5 -- --
09/05 08:55 PM -- 39.0 --
09/05 07:45 PM -- 39.0 --
09/05 06:58 PM -- -- 38.5
09/05 06:52 PM 38.5 -- --
09/05 05:45 PM -- 39.0 --
09/05 04:48 PM -- -- 38.5
09/05 03:55 PM 38.5 -- --
09/05 01:28 PM -- -- 38.5
09/05 12:33 PM 38.5 -- --
09/05 10:47 AM 38.5 -- --
09/04 08:58 PM 38.5 -- --
09/04 08:35 PM -- 39.0 --
09/04 08:24 PM 38.5 -- --
09/04 07:06 PM 38.5 -- --
09/04 05:45 PM -- 39.0 --
09/04 05:38 PM -- -- 38.5
09/04 05:30 PM 38.5 -- --
09/04 05:15 PM -- 38.0 --
09/04 05:08 PM -- -- 38.5
09/04 05:07 PM 38.5 -- --
09/04 02:48 PM -- -- 37.5
09/04 02:45 PM 38.0 -- --
09/04 01:11 PM 37.5 -- --
09/04 11:55 AM -- 37.5 --
09/04 11:48 AM -- -- 37.5
09/04 11:42 AM 37.5 -- --
09/04 10:08 AM -- -- 37.5
09/04 08:05 AM 37.5 -- --
09/04 07:28 AM -- -- 37.5
09/04 01:11 AM 37.5 -- --
09/03 11:25 PM -- 37.5 --
09/03 10:58 PM -- -- 37.5
09/03 10:38 PM -- -- 37.5
09/03 10:28 PM 37.5 -- --
09/03 09:55 PM -- 37.5 --
09/03 09:39 PM 37.5 -- --
09/03 09:28 PM 37.5 -- --
09/03 06:45 PM -- 37.5 --
09/03 06:35 PM 37.5 -- --
09/03 05:58 PM -- -- 37.5
09/03 05:48 PM 37.5 -- --
09/03 02:54 PM 38.0 -- --
09/03 12:08 PM -- -- 37.5
09/03 12:05 PM -- 37.5 --
09/03 10:18 AM -- -- 37.5
09/03 08:11 AM 37.5 -- --
09/02 10:14 PM 37.5 -- --
09/02 06:25 PM -- 37.5 --
09/02 09:53 AM 37.5 -- --
09/02 09:18 AM -- -- 37.5
09/01 11:18 AM -- -- 37.5
09/01 11:10 AM 37.5 -- --
09/01 11:05 AM -- 37.5 --
09/01 07:47 AM 37.5 -- --
09/01 05:01 AM 37.5 -- --
08/31 09:07 PM -- 37.5 --
08/31 06:56 PM 37.5 -- --
08/31 06:45 PM -- 37.5 --
08/31 06:08 PM -- -- 37.5
08/31 06:01 PM 37.5 -- --
08/31 04:33 PM 37.5 -- --
08/31 09:15 AM -- 37.5 --
08/31 08:49 AM 37.5 -- --
08/31 06:45 AM -- 37.5 --
08/30 06:23 PM 37.5 -- --
08/30 08:55 AM -- 37.5 --
08/29 05:05 PM -- 37.5 --
08/29 12:35 PM -- 37.5 --
08/27 03:08 PM -- -- 37.5
08/27 03:06 PM 37.5 -- --
08/27 02:35 PM -- 37.5 --
08/27 02:28 PM -- -- 37.5
08/27 02:21 PM 37.5 -- --
08/25 11:38 PM -- -- 37.5
08/24 07:08 PM -- -- 37.5
08/22 07:25 AM -- 37.5 --
08/19 11:54 AM 37.5 -- --
08/19 11:39 AM 37.5 -- --
08/18 02:05 PM -- 37.0 --
08/18 01:18 PM -- -- 37.5
08/09 07:58 AM -- -- 37.5
08/05 11:22 AM 38.0 -- --
08/05 10:38 AM 38.0 -- --
08/04 12:42 PM 37.0 -- --
08/02 05:08 PM -- -- 37.5
08/01 03:58 PM -- -- 37.5
07/24 09:35 AM -- 37.0 --
07/22 06:45 AM -- 37.0 --
07/11 05:25 PM -- 37.0 --
06/18 06:07 PM 37.0 -- --
06/17 12:18 PM -- -- 37.5
06/12 12:25 PM -- 37.0 --