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Baltimore at Washington
Sun Oct 4, 2020
1:00pm ET
Landover, MD
Baltimore at Washington: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Baltimore by 14, Total Points: 45
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | BAL | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-10-1 | 10-7-0 |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 5-1-0 |
| vs Conference | 4-9-1 | 7-5-0 |
| Streak | Un 1 | Ov 1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 7-3-0 |
| Home | 5-5-1 | 5-3-0 |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 5-4-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Baltimore Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Home | Houston | 43.5 | 25-9 | Under | -9.5 |
| 09/17 | Away | Cincinnati | 45.5 | 27-24 | Over | +5.5 |
| 09/24 | Home | Indianapolis | 44.0 | 19-22 | Under | -3.0 |
| 10/01 | Away | Cleveland | 38.5 | 28-3 | Under | -7.5 |
| 10/08 | Away | Pittsburgh | 38.5 | 10-17 | Under | -11.5 |
| 10/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | 42.5 | 24-16 | Under | -2.5 |
| 10/22 | Home | Detroit | 43.5 | 38-6 | Over | +0.5 |
| 10/29 | Away | Arizona | 45.0 | 31-24 | Over | +10.0 |
| 11/05 | Home | Seattle | 44.5 | 37-3 | Under | -4.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Cleveland | 39.0 | 31-33 | Over | +25.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Cincinnati | 46.5 | 34-20 | Over | +7.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | LA Chargers | 49.0 | 20-10 | Under | -19.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | LA Rams | 42.0 | 37-31 | Over | +26.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Jacksonville | 42.5 | 23-7 | Under | -12.5 |
| 12/25 | Away | San Francisco | 47.0 | 33-19 | Over | +5.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Miami | 47.0 | 56-19 | Over | +28.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | 34.0 | 10-17 | Under | -7.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Houston | 44.0 | 34-10 | Push | 0.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Kansas City | 44.0 | 10-17 | Under | -17.0 |
Washington Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Home | Arizona | 38.0 | 20-16 | Under | -2.0 |
| 09/17 | Away | Denver | 39.0 | 35-33 | Over | +29.0 |
| 09/24 | Home | Buffalo | 44.0 | 3-37 | Under | -4.0 |
| 10/01 | Away | Philadelphia | 43.0 | 31-34 | Over | +22.0 |
| 10/05 | Home | Chicago | 45.0 | 20-40 | Over | +15.0 |
| 10/15 | Away | Atlanta | 42.0 | 24-16 | Under | -2.0 |
| 10/22 | Away | NY Giants | 37.0 | 7-14 | Under | -16.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Philadelphia | 42.5 | 31-38 | Over | +26.5 |
| 11/05 | Away | New England | 40.5 | 20-17 | Under | -3.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Seattle | 44.0 | 26-29 | Over | +11.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | NY Giants | 39.0 | 19-31 | Over | +11.0 |
| 11/23 | Away | Dallas | 48.0 | 10-45 | Over | +7.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Miami | 49.5 | 15-45 | Over | +10.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | LA Rams | 48.5 | 20-28 | Under | -0.5 |
| 12/24 | Away | NY Jets | 36.0 | 28-30 | Over | +22.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | San Francisco | 48.5 | 10-27 | Under | -11.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Dallas | 47.5 | 10-38 | Over | +0.5 |
| Total 45.0 | Open | 51.0 | High | 51.0 |
| Last | 45.5 | Low | 45.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015 NFL season there have been 321 games with over/under lines between 43.5 and 45.5. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 162 times (50.5%).
- Games have gone under the line 156 times (48.6%).
- Games have pushed the line 3 times (0.9%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017 NFL season there have been 7 games where the closing over/under line moved 2.5 points lower than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the over performed better, going 4-3 (57.1%). Game totals went over the line by an average of 3.6 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 45.0 | 45.0 | 45.0 |
| Open | 47.0 | 51.0 | 47.0 |
| History | |||
| 10/04 12:59 PM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 12:45 PM | -- | -- | 45.0 |
| 10/04 12:41 PM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 12:02 PM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 11:47 AM | 44.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 11:24 AM | -- | 45.0 | -- |
| 10/04 11:02 AM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 10:26 AM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 09:59 AM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 08:35 AM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 08:14 AM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 10/04 07:54 AM | -- | 45.0 | -- |
| 10/04 07:32 AM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 02:44 AM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 01:55 AM | -- | -- | 45.0 |
| 10/03 08:47 PM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 03:20 PM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 11:35 AM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 11:15 AM | -- | -- | 45.0 |
| 10/02 07:11 PM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 01:41 PM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 09:55 AM | -- | -- | 45.5 |
| 10/02 03:35 AM | -- | -- | 45.0 |
| 10/02 03:29 AM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 04:45 PM | -- | -- | 45.5 |
| 09/30 11:34 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 09/30 10:34 PM | -- | 46.0 | -- |
| 09/30 10:23 PM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 10:15 PM | -- | -- | 45.0 |
| 09/30 06:14 PM | -- | 46.0 | -- |
| 09/30 06:02 PM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 05:44 PM | -- | 46.0 | -- |
| 09/30 05:38 PM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 05:14 PM | -- | 46.0 | -- |
| 09/30 05:05 PM | -- | -- | 45.5 |
| 09/30 04:56 PM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 04:45 PM | -- | -- | 46.0 |
| 09/30 04:44 PM | -- | 47.0 | -- |
| 09/30 04:38 PM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 02:54 PM | -- | 47.0 | -- |
| 09/30 02:41 PM | 47.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 02:24 PM | -- | 47.0 | -- |
| 09/30 01:54 PM | -- | 47.0 | -- |
| 09/30 01:44 PM | -- | 47.0 | -- |
| 09/30 01:14 PM | -- | 47.0 | -- |
| 09/30 11:34 AM | -- | 47.0 | -- |
| 09/30 10:04 AM | -- | 47.0 | -- |
| 09/30 09:50 AM | 47.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 11:34 PM | -- | 47.0 | -- |
| 09/29 11:05 AM | -- | -- | 47.0 |
| 09/29 10:04 AM | -- | 47.0 | -- |
| 09/29 09:50 AM | 47.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 05:44 PM | -- | 51.0 | -- |
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