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Baltimore at New England
Sun Sep 25, 2022
1:00pm ET
Foxborough, MA
Baltimore at New England: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baltimore by 2.5, Total Points: 45
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BAL | adv | NE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-7-0 | 5-11-1 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-5-0 | 5-6-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-1-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 6-5-0 | 1-6-1 | |
| Away | 6-2-0 | 4-5-0 |
Baltimore Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Home | Houston | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 09/17 | Away | Cincinnati | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 09/24 | Home | Indianapolis | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 10/01 | Away | Cleveland | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 10/08 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 10/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/22 | Home | Detroit | -3.0 | W by 32 | +29.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Arizona | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 11/05 | Home | Seattle | -6.0 | W by 34 | +28.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Cleveland | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Cincinnati | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | LA Chargers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | LA Rams | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Jacksonville | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | San Francisco | +6.5 | W by 14 | +20.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 37 | +34.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 24 | +14.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Kansas City | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
New England Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Home | Philadelphia | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 09/17 | Home | Miami | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
| 09/24 | Away | NY Jets | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 10/01 | Away | Dallas | +6.0 | L by 35 | -29.0 |
| 10/08 | Home | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 34 | -36.0 |
| 10/15 | Away | Las Vegas | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 10/22 | Home | Buffalo | +7.5 | W by 4 | +11.5 |
| 10/29 | Away | Miami | +7.5 | L by 14 | -6.5 |
| 11/05 | Home | Washington | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/12 | Neutral | Indianapolis | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | NY Giants | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | LA Chargers | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Pittsburgh | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Kansas City | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/24 | Away | Denver | +7.0 | W by 3 | +10.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Buffalo | +15.0 | L by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | NY Jets | -2.0 | L by 14 | -16.0 |
| BAL -2.5 | Open | +2.5 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | +2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017 NFL season there have been 218 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baltimore won the game 123 times (56.4%).
- The team like New England won the game 92 times (42.2%).
- The team like New England did better against the spread, going 110-101-7 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019 NFL season there have been 54 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like New England did better against the spread, going 28-25-1 (52.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -3.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/25 01:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 12:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 12:52 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:25 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 11:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 11:49 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 11:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 11:16 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 10:52 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:22 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:45 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 09:28 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 08:58 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 07:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 07:13 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 02:36 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 01:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/24 11:16 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 10:10 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 02:49 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 01:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/24 12:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/24 12:14 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 11:52 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 11:26 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 10:37 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 10:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 10:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/23 09:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/23 09:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/23 07:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/23 04:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 02:19 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 01:07 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 12:31 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 10:32 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 09:59 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 09:15 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/23 01:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/22 10:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/22 07:55 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/22 03:43 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 01:10 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 01:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/22 12:52 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 12:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/22 11:55 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/22 10:35 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 09:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/22 06:15 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/22 02:55 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 09:36 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 09:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 08:35 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 07:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 05:36 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 05:15 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 04:56 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 04:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 04:25 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 04:01 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 03:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 02:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 02:16 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 11:15 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/21 10:15 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/21 08:44 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 06:38 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 05:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 04:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 03:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 02:15 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 11:44 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 11:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 11:17 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 09:23 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 11:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/19 10:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/19 09:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/19 08:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/19 08:28 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 01:13 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 11:55 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 11:40 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 11:16 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 09:19 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 09:07 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:25 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:07 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 05:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
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