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Pittsburgh at Buffalo
Sun Sep 12, 2021
1:00pm ET
Orchard Park, NY
Pittsburgh at Buffalo: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 6.5, Total Points: 47.5
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | PIT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-11-0 | 8-11-0 |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 |
| vs Conference | 5-8-0 | 7-7-0 |
| Streak | Ov 1 | Ov 2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Home | 4-5-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Away | 3-6-0 | 3-6-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Pittsburgh Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Home | San Francisco | 41.5 | 7-30 | Under | -4.5 |
| 09/18 | Home | Cleveland | 39.0 | 26-22 | Over | +9.0 |
| 09/24 | Away | Las Vegas | 43.5 | 23-18 | Under | -2.5 |
| 10/01 | Away | Houston | 41.5 | 6-30 | Under | -5.5 |
| 10/08 | Home | Baltimore | 38.5 | 17-10 | Under | -11.5 |
| 10/22 | Away | LA Rams | 43.0 | 24-17 | Under | -2.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Jacksonville | 41.0 | 10-20 | Under | -11.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Tennessee | 37.0 | 20-16 | Under | -1.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Green Bay | 38.5 | 23-19 | Over | +3.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Cleveland | 34.0 | 10-13 | Under | -11.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Cincinnati | 36.0 | 16-10 | Under | -10.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Arizona | 41.0 | 10-24 | Under | -7.0 |
| 12/07 | Home | New England | 30.5 | 18-21 | Over | +8.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Indianapolis | 41.5 | 13-30 | Over | +1.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Cincinnati | 39.0 | 34-11 | Over | +6.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Seattle | 40.5 | 30-23 | Over | +12.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Baltimore | 34.0 | 17-10 | Under | -7.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Buffalo | 39.5 | 17-31 | Over | +8.5 |
Buffalo Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Away | NY Jets | 44.5 | 16-22 | Under | -6.5 |
| 09/17 | Home | Las Vegas | 47.5 | 38-10 | Over | +0.5 |
| 09/24 | Away | Washington | 44.0 | 37-3 | Under | -4.0 |
| 10/01 | Home | Miami | 52.5 | 48-20 | Over | +15.5 |
| 10/08 | Neutral | Jacksonville | 48.5 | 20-25 | Under | -3.5 |
| 10/15 | Home | NY Giants | 43.5 | 14-9 | Under | -20.5 |
| 10/22 | Away | New England | 41.0 | 25-29 | Over | +13.0 |
| 10/26 | Home | Tampa Bay | 43.0 | 24-18 | Under | -1.0 |
| 11/05 | Away | Cincinnati | 51.0 | 18-24 | Under | -9.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Denver | 47.5 | 22-24 | Under | -1.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | NY Jets | 39.0 | 32-6 | Under | -1.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Philadelphia | 48.5 | 34-37 | Over | +22.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Kansas City | 49.0 | 20-17 | Under | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Dallas | 49.5 | 31-10 | Under | -8.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | LA Chargers | 44.5 | 24-22 | Over | +1.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | New England | 40.0 | 27-21 | Over | +8.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Miami | 48.0 | 21-14 | Under | -13.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | Pittsburgh | 39.5 | 31-17 | Over | +8.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Kansas City | 46.0 | 24-27 | Over | +5.0 |
| Total 47.5 | Open | 50.0 | High | 50.5 |
| Last | 48.0 | Low | 47.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016 NFL season there have been 287 games with over/under lines between 46.5 and 48.5. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 139 times (48.4%).
- Games have gone under the line 147 times (51.2%).
- Games have pushed the line 1 times (0.3%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018 NFL season there have been 11 games where the closing over/under line moved 4 points lower than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the under performed better, going 6-5 (54.5%). Game totals went over the line by an average of 3.8 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 47.5 | 48.0 | 47.5 |
| Open | 43.0 | 51.0 | 50.5 |
| History | |||
| 09/12 01:05 PM | 47.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 12:56 PM | 47.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 12:45 PM | -- | -- | 47.5 |
| 09/12 12:17 PM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 11:20 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 10:23 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 09:20 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 09:14 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 08:29 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 07:38 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 02:56 AM | 47.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 04:15 PM | -- | -- | 48.0 |
| 09/11 02:05 PM | -- | -- | 48.0 |
| 09/11 12:53 PM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 12:59 PM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 11:26 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 10:25 PM | -- | -- | 48.0 |
| 09/09 08:50 PM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 03:53 PM | 47.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 10:56 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 09:56 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 09:25 AM | -- | -- | 48.5 |
| 09/09 08:17 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 01:25 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 01:05 AM | -- | -- | 48.0 |
| 09/08 06:14 PM | -- | 48.0 | -- |
| 09/08 04:29 PM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 01:23 PM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 11:32 AM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 09:53 AM | 48.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 09:23 AM | 48.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 11:54 AM | -- | 48.5 | -- |
| 09/07 11:47 AM | 48.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 11:45 AM | -- | -- | 48.5 |
| 09/07 05:23 AM | 49.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 09:14 PM | 49.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 07:44 PM | -- | 49.0 | -- |
| 09/06 07:35 PM | 48.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 07:35 PM | -- | -- | 49.0 |
| 09/06 03:35 PM | -- | -- | 48.0 |
| 09/06 03:35 PM | 48.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 03:04 PM | -- | 48.0 | -- |
| 09/06 02:44 PM | 47.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 12:11 PM | 48.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 10:25 AM | -- | -- | 48.5 |
| 09/01 02:15 PM | -- | -- | 48.0 |
| 08/31 12:24 PM | -- | 48.5 | -- |
| 08/31 12:15 PM | -- | -- | 48.5 |
| 08/31 04:35 AM | -- | -- | 49.0 |
| 08/30 08:05 PM | -- | -- | 48.5 |
| 08/30 07:59 PM | 48.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 05:44 PM | -- | 49.0 | -- |
| 08/30 04:35 PM | -- | -- | 48.5 |
| 08/30 04:16 PM | 48.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 02:05 PM | 48.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 02:05 PM | -- | -- | 49.0 |
| 08/30 01:15 PM | -- | -- | 49.5 |
| 08/30 01:14 PM | -- | 49.5 | -- |
| 08/30 01:14 PM | 49.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 12:47 PM | 49.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 10:58 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 10:44 AM | -- | 50.0 | -- |
| 08/29 03:29 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 09:14 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 08/28 12:59 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 08:44 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 03:38 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 02:53 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 11:23 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/23 08:32 PM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/23 11:41 AM | -- | -- | 50.5 |
| 08/22 12:04 PM | -- | 50.0 | -- |
| 08/22 11:41 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/22 10:24 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 08/09 07:14 PM | -- | 50.0 | -- |
| 08/09 07:05 PM | -- | -- | 50.0 |
| 06/28 08:54 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/28 08:45 AM | -- | -- | 50.5 |
| 06/27 04:24 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/27 04:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/27 02:44 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/27 02:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/27 01:44 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/27 12:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/27 06:04 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/27 01:04 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/26 06:24 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/26 06:14 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/26 10:24 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/26 09:54 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/26 01:04 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/25 09:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/25 08:54 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/25 08:24 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/25 07:44 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/25 04:24 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/25 04:14 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/25 09:04 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/25 08:44 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/25 08:34 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/25 05:44 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/24 09:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/24 08:44 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/24 07:24 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/24 07:14 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/23 11:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/23 10:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/23 05:54 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 06/23 01:34 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 05/15 11:35 AM | -- | -- | 50.0 |
| 05/15 11:26 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/14 07:35 PM | -- | -- | 50.5 |
| 05/13 01:14 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 05/13 12:43 PM | -- | 51.0 | -- |
| 05/13 08:59 AM | 43.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 01:34 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 05/12 12:34 PM | -- | 51.0 | -- |
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