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Houston at Buffalo
Sun Oct 3, 2021
1:00pm ET
Orchard Park, NY
Houston at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 18.5, Total Points: 47.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 0-2-1 | 2-1-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-1-0 | 2-0-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-2-1 | 2-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 0-2-1 | 2-1-0 | |
| Home | 0-0-1 | 1-1-0 | |
| Away | 0-2-0 | 1-0-0 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Away | Indianapolis | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 09/15 | Home | Chicago | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 27 | -28.5 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Home | Arizona | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 09/12 | Away | Miami | +2.5 | W by 21 | +23.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Jacksonville | -4.5 | W by 37 | +32.5 |
| BUF -18.5 | Open | -11.5 | High | -18.5 |
| Last | -18.0 | Low | -11.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016 NFL season there have been 3 games where the closing line favored the home team by 17.5 to 19.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Buffalo won the game 1 times (33.3%).
- The team like Houston won the game 2 times (66.7%).
- The team like Houston did better against the spread, going 2-1 (66.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 6.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018 NFL season there have been 1 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 7 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Houston did better against the spread, going 1-0 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 5.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -19.0 | -18.0 | -18.5 |
| Open | -17.5 | -16.5 | -17.0 |
| History | |||
| 10/03 01:02 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 12:53 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -18.5 |
| 10/03 12:29 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 12:17 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 12:04 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 10/03 11:49 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 11:24 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/03 11:11 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 11:08 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 10:23 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 09:53 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -17.5 |
| 10/03 04:13 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 02:55 AM | -- | -- | -17.5 |
| 10/03 02:16 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:04 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 10/02 10:15 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 09:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 09:15 PM | -- | -- | -17.0 |
| 10/02 09:07 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 08:35 PM | -- | -- | -17.0 |
| 10/02 08:28 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 05:19 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 01:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 12:54 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 12:40 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 12:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 11:14 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 10:34 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 10:04 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 07:14 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 06:44 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 06:04 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 04:24 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 03:34 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/02 02:54 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 10:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:54 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:34 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 06:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 06:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 05:54 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 05:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 04:34 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 03:34 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 02:56 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 02:25 PM | -- | -- | -17.0 |
| 10/01 02:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 01:54 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 01:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 12:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 12:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 12:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 11:44 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 11:14 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 10:44 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 10:14 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:54 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:04 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:54 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:24 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:54 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:14 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 06:44 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 06:25 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 04:54 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 03:53 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/01 02:19 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/30 11:10 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 10:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/30 09:54 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/30 09:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/30 08:54 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/30 08:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/30 08:04 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 07:45 PM | -- | -- | -17.0 |
| 09/30 07:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/30 07:43 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 07:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/30 07:01 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 06:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 06:35 PM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 09/30 06:14 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 05:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 05:24 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 04:34 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 04:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 04:15 PM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 09/30 04:14 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 03:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 02:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 02:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 09/30 01:49 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 01:44 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 01:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 12:44 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 12:10 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 12:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 11:43 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 11:34 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 11:22 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 11:14 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 10:34 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 10:14 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 09:34 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 08:34 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 07:54 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 07:34 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 07:04 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 06:44 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 05:44 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 05:14 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 03:54 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 02:34 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/30 01:46 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 10:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 09:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 09:24 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 08:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 08:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 08:14 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 07:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 06:44 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 06:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 05:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 05:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 04:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 04:14 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 03:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 02:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 02:14 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 01:44 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 01:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 12:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 12:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 12:05 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 11:34 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 11:10 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 11:04 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 10:24 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 09:44 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 08:54 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 08:24 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 07:44 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 07:04 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 06:44 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 05:14 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 04:24 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 03:54 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/29 02:35 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/28 11:49 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 10:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/28 06:01 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/28 05:31 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 04:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/28 04:14 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/28 03:14 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/28 02:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/28 02:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/28 01:14 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/28 12:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/28 12:24 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/28 10:55 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 09/28 07:25 AM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 09/28 07:23 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:15 AM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 09/28 12:10 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 08:44 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/27 06:43 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 06:35 PM | -- | -- | -17.0 |
| 09/27 06:20 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 01:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/27 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -17.0 |
| 09/27 01:28 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -17.0 |
| 09/27 03:44 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 09/27 01:05 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 10:13 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:13 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 07:54 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
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