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Minnesota at San Francisco
Sun Nov 28, 2021
4:25pm ET
Santa Clara, CA
Minnesota at San Francisco: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: San Francisco by 4, Total Points: 49
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | SF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-7-3 | 9-11-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-5-1 | 7-7-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 0-3-2 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-4-2 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-3 | 6-4-0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Home | Tampa Bay | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 09/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.0 | L by 6 | 0.0 |
| 09/24 | Home | LA Chargers | (Pick) | L by 4 | -4.0 |
| 10/01 | Away | Carolina | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 10/08 | Home | Kansas City | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 10/15 | Away | Chicago | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 10/23 | Home | San Francisco | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Green Bay | (Pick) | W by 14 | +14.0 |
| 11/05 | Away | Atlanta | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | New Orleans | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Denver | +2.5 | L by 1 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Chicago | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
| 12/10 | Away | Las Vegas | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Cincinnati | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 12/24 | Home | Detroit | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Green Bay | (Pick) | L by 23 | -23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Detroit | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
San Francisco Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Away | Pittsburgh | -1.0 | W by 23 | +22.0 |
| 09/17 | Away | LA Rams | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 09/21 | Home | NY Giants | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 10/01 | Home | Arizona | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 10/08 | Home | Dallas | -3.5 | W by 32 | +28.5 |
| 10/15 | Away | Cleveland | -8.5 | L by 2 | -10.5 |
| 10/23 | Away | Minnesota | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Cincinnati | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Jacksonville | -3.0 | W by 31 | +28.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Tampa Bay | -13.5 | W by 13 | -0.5 |
| 11/23 | Away | Seattle | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | W by 23 | +20.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Seattle | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Arizona | -12.0 | W by 16 | +4.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Baltimore | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | Washington | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | LA Rams | -5.5 | L by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Green Bay | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 02/11 | Neutral | Kansas City | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| SF -4.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016 NFL season there have been 313 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like San Francisco won the game 184 times (58.8%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 129 times (41.2%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 164-136-13 (54.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018 NFL season there have been 186 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 111-72-3 (60.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/28 04:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/28 04:22 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 11/28 04:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/28 04:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 03:58 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 03:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/28 03:17 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:04 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:17 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:40 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:29 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 11/28 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 11/28 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 11/28 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 11/28 09:56 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/28 09:34 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:26 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/28 07:40 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:04 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:58 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 07:43 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 05:56 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 03:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/27 10:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/26 11:59 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 12:22 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 11:58 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 06:37 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 06:16 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 05:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 11:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:31 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 09:28 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 07:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/23 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/23 06:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 03:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/23 02:56 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/23 05:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/23 05:19 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 04:16 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 11:43 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 07:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/22 07:14 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 06:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/22 06:35 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 05:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/22 05:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/22 05:44 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 04:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/22 03:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/22 03:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/22 02:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/22 02:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 01:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/22 01:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 11:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/22 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/22 11:29 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 11:26 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/22 11:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/22 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/22 07:37 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 07:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/22 05:49 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:28 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 08:55 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 07:58 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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