Over/Under Situational Trends

Record MIN NO
Season 7-10-0 6-11-0
vs Division 3-3-0 1-5-0
vs Conference 6-6-0 4-8-0
Streak Ov 4 Ov 1
Last 5 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 5-5-0
Home 3-5-0 3-5-0
Away 4-5-0 3-6-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Minnesota Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
09/10 Home Tampa Bay 45.0 17-20 Under -8.0
09/14 Away Philadelphia 49.0 28-34 Over +13.0
09/24 Home LA Chargers 53.5 24-28 Under -1.5
10/01 Away Carolina 46.0 21-13 Under -12.0
10/08 Home Kansas City 52.0 20-27 Under -5.0
10/15 Away Chicago 45.0 19-13 Under -13.0
10/23 Home San Francisco 44.0 22-17 Under -5.0
10/29 Away Green Bay 41.5 24-10 Under -7.5
11/05 Away Atlanta 39.0 31-28 Over +20.0
11/12 Home New Orleans 40.5 27-19 Over +5.5
11/19 Away Denver 43.0 20-21 Under -2.0
11/27 Home Chicago 43.5 10-12 Under -21.5
12/10 Away Las Vegas 40.5 3-0 Under -37.5
12/16 Away Cincinnati 41.5 24-27 Over +9.5
12/24 Home Detroit 48.0 24-30 Over +6.0
12/31 Home Green Bay 42.5 10-33 Over +0.5
01/07 Away Detroit 47.5 20-30 Over +2.5

New Orleans Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
09/10 Home Tennessee 41.5 16-15 Under -10.5
09/18 Away Carolina 39.5 20-17 Under -2.5
09/24 Away Green Bay 41.5 17-18 Under -6.5
10/01 Home Tampa Bay 41.0 9-26 Under -6.0
10/08 Away New England 38.5 34-0 Under -4.5
10/15 Away Houston 42.0 13-20 Under -9.0
10/19 Home Jacksonville 41.5 24-31 Over +13.5
10/29 Away Indianapolis 44.0 38-27 Over +21.0
11/05 Home Chicago 42.0 24-17 Under -1.0
11/12 Away Minnesota 40.5 19-27 Over +5.5
11/26 Away Atlanta 42.0 15-24 Under -3.0
12/03 Home Detroit 48.0 28-33 Over +13.0
12/10 Home Carolina 39.0 28-6 Under -5.0
12/17 Home NY Giants 39.5 24-6 Under -9.5
12/21 Away LA Rams 45.5 22-30 Over +6.5
12/31 Away Tampa Bay 42.5 23-13 Under -6.5
01/07 Home Atlanta 41.5 48-17 Over +23.5
Total 42.0 Open 46.5 High 46.5
Last 41.5 Low 41.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2017 NFL season there have been 232 games with over/under lines between 41 and 43. In these games:

  • Games have gone over the line 111 times (47.8%).
  • Games have gone under the line 118 times (50.9%).
  • Games have pushed the line 3 times (1.3%).

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2019 NFL season there have been 6 games where the closing over/under line moved 4.5 points lower than the opening over/under line.

In these games, the under performed better, going 4-2 (66.7%). Game totals went under the line by an average of 3.6 points.

Totals History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

  Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current 41.5 42.0 --
Open 44.0 44.5 --
History
10/02 09:31 AM 41.5 -- --
10/02 09:28 AM 41.5 -- --
10/02 08:55 AM -- 42.0 --
10/02 08:41 AM 42.0 -- --
10/02 08:06 AM 42.0 -- --
10/02 07:35 AM 42.0 -- --
10/02 07:35 AM -- 42.5 --
10/02 07:13 AM 42.5 -- --
10/02 06:44 AM -- 42.0 --
10/02 05:29 AM -- 42.0 --
10/02 03:45 AM -- 42.0 --
10/02 03:40 AM 42.5 -- --
10/02 01:04 AM -- 42.0 --
10/02 12:40 AM 42.5 -- --
10/01 10:38 PM -- 41.5 --
10/01 10:10 PM 42.0 -- --
10/01 07:41 PM 41.5 -- --
10/01 05:04 PM -- 41.5 --
10/01 05:01 PM 41.0 -- --
09/30 01:35 PM 41.0 -- --
09/30 01:14 PM 41.0 -- --
09/30 12:34 PM 41.5 -- --
09/30 12:01 PM 41.5 -- --
09/30 11:15 AM -- 41.5 --
09/30 10:04 AM -- 42.0 --
09/30 09:54 AM -- 42.5 --
09/30 08:58 AM 43.0 -- --
09/30 12:16 AM 43.0 -- --
09/29 10:04 AM 43.0 -- --
09/28 12:16 PM 43.0 -- --
09/28 10:46 AM 43.5 -- --
09/28 10:19 AM 43.0 -- --
09/28 10:06 AM -- 43.5 --
09/28 09:55 AM 43.0 -- --
09/27 05:13 PM 43.5 -- --
09/26 12:34 PM 43.5 -- --
09/26 09:19 AM 44.0 -- --
09/26 07:14 AM -- 44.0 --
09/25 05:26 PM 44.0 -- --
09/21 12:45 AM -- 44.5 --