NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS ATL
Points 127.2 109.8
Total Points   237.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.6 53.7
Points From 3-Pointers 53.3 41.8
Points From Free Throws 16.3 14.2
Shooting BOS ATL
Field Goals Made 46.6 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 95.4
Field Goal % 51.7% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 47.1 56.0
2 Point Shooting % 61.1% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 17.8 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 42.9 39.4
3 Point Shooting % 41.4% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 16.3 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 18.2
Free Throw % 79.2% 78.3%
Ball Control BOS ATL
Rebounds 53.0 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 41.6 34.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 14.3
Turnovers 10.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 6.7 3.3
Steals 6.2 5.2
Fouls 14.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS ATL
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 105.3
% of Possessions with BOS ATL
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 37.5% 33.2%
Player Fouled 15.3% 14.3%
Turnover 10.6% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS ATL
Shot Blocked 3.6% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 25.6%