NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY PHI
Points 111.8 111.1
Total Points   222.9
Points From 2-Pointers 54.9 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 37.3
Points From Free Throws 19.1 18.6
Shooting NY PHI
Field Goals Made 40.0 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 86.6
Field Goal % 45.9% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 53.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.1 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 19.1 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 22.7
Free Throw % 77.4% 82.1%
Ball Control NY PHI
Rebounds 51.6 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 15.9 12.5
Turnovers 11.8 10.7
Blocked Shots 5.5 6.2
Steals 5.6 6.2
Fouls 15.9 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY PHI
Total Possessions 97.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 99.6
% of Possessions with NY PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 29.7%
Player Fouled 18.7% 16.3%
Turnover 12.1% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY PHI
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 26.0%