Projections last updated: May 9, 2024 | Rushing | Receiving | Fantasy | ||||||||||
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Rank | Player | Team | Bye | Att | Yds | Y/A | TD | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | FPts |
1 | Christian McCaffrey | SF | 212 | 1019 | 4.8 | 9.0 | 77 | 61 | 477 | 7.9 | 4.5 | 232.4 | |
2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | 240 | 1132 | 4.7 | 7.3 | 68 | 51 | 417 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 218.0 | |
3 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 268 | 1220 | 4.5 | 7.9 | 50 | 38 | 310 | 8.2 | 1.7 | 210.6 | |
4 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 220 | 1044 | 4.7 | 6.9 | 73 | 55 | 454 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 209.8 | |
5 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 185 | 923 | 5.0 | 8.6 | 73 | 57 | 432 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 200.3 | |
6 | De'Von Achane | MIA | 161 | 916 | 5.7 | 8.9 | 55 | 42 | 356 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 196.8 | |
7 | Kyren Williams | LAR | 226 | 992 | 4.4 | 9.3 | 51 | 40 | 283 | 7.0 | 2.1 | 195.8 | |
8 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | 242 | 1090 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 54 | 39 | 285 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 191.5 | |
9 | Travis Etienne Jr. | JAC | 220 | 914 | 4.1 | 7.8 | 59 | 42 | 304 | 7.3 | 0.8 | 173.4 | |
10 | Derrick Henry | BAL | 227 | 962 | 4.2 | 9.5 | 27 | 20 | 149 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 172.2 | |
11 | Josh Jacobs | GB | 202 | 892 | 4.4 | 6.9 | 49 | 34 | 263 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 166.5 | |
12 | Rachaad White | TB | 192 | 794 | 4.1 | 5.3 | 65 | 45 | 347 | 7.7 | 1.7 | 156.1 | |
13 | Joe Mixon | HOU | 213 | 860 | 4.0 | 6.8 | 42 | 33 | 227 | 6.8 | 0.7 | 153.6 | |
14 | Kenneth Walker III | SEA | 197 | 869 | 4.4 | 6.9 | 36 | 27 | 196 | 7.3 | 0.8 | 152.7 | |
15 | Isiah Pacheco | KC | 166 | 730 | 4.4 | 6.8 | 47 | 36 | 248 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 149.5 | |
16 | James Cook | BUF | 165 | 766 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 56 | 42 | 347 | 8.4 | 2.3 | 146.7 | |
17 | Aaron Jones | MIN | 199 | 861 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 47 | 32 | 229 | 7.3 | 1.2 | 144.5 | |
18 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 177 | 784 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 55 | 37 | 259 | 7.0 | 1.4 | 143.9 | |
19 | Alvin Kamara | NO | 161 | 654 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 72 | 52 | 352 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 135.9 | |
20 | David Montgomery | DET | 171 | 716 | 4.2 | 8.2 | 18 | 14 | 99 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 133.7 | |
21 | Zamir White | LV | 211 | 864 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 25 | 17 | 113 | 6.9 | 0.3 | 133.1 | |
22 | James Conner | ARI | 170 | 706 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 36 | 27 | 190 | 7.0 | 0.8 | 126.2 | |
23 | Raheem Mostert | MIA | 139 | 645 | 4.6 | 7.2 | 23 | 17 | 123 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 126.0 | |
24 | Nick Chubb | CLE | 171 | 754 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 29 | 20 | 133 | 6.8 | 0.6 | 125.9 | |
25 | Tony Pollard | TEN | 172 | 729 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 38 | 26 | 185 | 7.1 | 0.6 | 125.6 | |
26 | Zack Moss | CIN | 168 | 707 | 4.2 | 5.7 | 29 | 22 | 149 | 6.7 | 0.9 | 125.2 | |
27 | Devin Singletary | NYG | 181 | 736 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 32 | 23 | 156 | 6.7 | 0.8 | 124.6 | |
28 | Brian Robinson Jr. | WAS | 160 | 713 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 31 | 23 | 187 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 123.6 | |
29 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | 158 | 658 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 43 | 28 | 206 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 123.0 | |
29 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 149 | 660 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 54 | 39 | 276 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 123.0 | |
31 | Najee Harris | PIT | 195 | 741 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 30 | 21 | 140 | 6.6 | 0.5 | 122.3 | |
32 | Jonathon Brooks | CAR | 153 | 649 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 48 | 33 | 239 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 118.2 | |
33 | Javonte Williams | DEN | 148 | 606 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 53 | 37 | 249 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 116.1 | |
33 | Trey Benson | ARI | 148 | 633 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 33 | 26 | 198 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 116.1 | |
35 | Gus Edwards | LAC | 162 | 682 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 24 | 18 | 134 | 7.6 | 0.7 | 113.9 | |
36 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 107 | 530 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 59 | 39 | 308 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 113.8 | |
37 | Chase Brown | CIN | 113 | 489 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 52 | 40 | 284 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 112.0 | |
38 | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 127 | 558 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 51 | 38 | 263 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 110.9 | |
39 | Ezekiel Elliott | DAL | 135 | 531 | 3.9 | 5.4 | 33 | 25 | 167 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 110.6 | |
40 | Austin Ekeler | WAS | 121 | 504 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 47 | 34 | 255 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 110.2 | |
41 | Rico Dowdle | DAL | 129 | 540 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 34 | 26 | 185 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 106.1 | |
42 | Tyler Allgeier | ATL | 130 | 535 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 27 | 20 | 151 | 7.5 | 1.1 | 99.7 | |
43 | Jaleel McLaughlin | DEN | 113 | 510 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 39 | 26 | 184 | 7.0 | 0.7 | 98.1 | |
44 | Jerome Ford | CLE | 118 | 478 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 42 | 32 | 227 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 93.9 | |
45 | Kendre Miller | NO | 116 | 480 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 34 | 24 | 203 | 8.4 | 1.0 | 92.3 | |
46 | Bucky Irving | TB | 131 | 549 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 27 | 21 | 139 | 6.7 | 0.5 | 92.2 | |
47 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 146 | 586 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 30 | 20 | 129 | 6.4 | 0.5 | 91.9 | |
48 | Ty Chandler | MIN | 110 | 466 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 33 | 24 | 176 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 91.2 | |
49 | Blake Corum | LAR | 126 | 533 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 25 | 19 | 133 | 7.1 | 0.5 | 88.8 | |
50 | Antonio Gibson | NE | 94 | 387 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 50 | 36 | 274 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 85.9 | |
51 | MarShawn Lloyd | GB | 110 | 450 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 29 | 21 | 149 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 85.1 | |
52 | Ray Davis | BUF | 119 | 496 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 23 | 16 | 114 | 7.1 | 0.5 | 83.8 | |
53 | Braelon Allen | NYJ | 120 | 503 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 23 | 17 | 111 | 6.6 | 0.4 | 78.8 | |
54 | Khalil Herbert | CHI | 119 | 491 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 6.9 | 0.1 | 78.7 | |
55 | Dameon Pierce | HOU | 122 | 501 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 17 | 12 | 86 | 7.4 | 0.4 | 77.3 | |
56 | Alexander Mattison | LV | 108 | 443 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 35 | 23 | 155 | 6.8 | 0.5 | 77.2 | |
57 | Audric Estime | DEN | 96 | 430 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 23 | 17 | 126 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 76.6 | |
58 | J.K. Dobbins | LAC | 112 | 459 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 12 | 10 | 67 | 7.0 | 0.2 | 73.6 | |
59 | Roschon Johnson | CHI | 79 | 317 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 45 | 29 | 210 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 70.7 | |
60 | Keaton Mitchell | BAL | 90 | 378 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 18 | 14 | 102 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 69.6 | |
61 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 81 | 348 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 29 | 22 | 160 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 68.8 | |
62 | Will Shipley | PHI | 80 | 343 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 31 | 24 | 171 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 68.2 | |
63 | Isaac Guerendo | SF | 90 | 408 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 17 | 12 | 98 | 8.2 | 0.4 | 68.0 | |
64 | Jaylen Wright | MIA | 80 | 365 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 25 | 18 | 132 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 67.8 | |
65 | Elijah Mitchell | SF | 102 | 442 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 6.6 | 0.1 | 67.7 | |
66 | Kimani Vidal | LAC | 76 | 337 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 25 | 18 | 145 | 8.1 | 0.7 | 64.4 | |
67 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KC | 85 | 321 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 21 | 15 | 127 | 8.3 | 0.6 | 63.3 | |
68 | Tank Bigsby | JAC | 92 | 342 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 17 | 12 | 79 | 6.8 | 0.3 | 60.8 | |
69 | D'Onta Foreman | CLE | 88 | 366 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 12 | 8 | 63 | 7.6 | 0.3 | 60.2 | |
70 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | WAS | 82 | 379 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 7.1 | 0.2 | 57.1 | |
71 | Kevin Harris | NE | 84 | 349 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 8 | 5 | 37 | 7.3 | 0.2 | 54.7 | |
72 | Isaiah Spiller | LAC | 75 | 306 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 16 | 12 | 86 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 52.4 | |
73 | Dylan Laube | LV | 56 | 236 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 37 | 25 | 185 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 51.7 | |
74 | Jamaal Williams | NO | 68 | 257 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 19 | 14 | 91 | 6.5 | 0.2 | 49.2 | |
75 | Justice Hill | BAL | 44 | 200 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 27 | 21 | 156 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 48.9 | |
76 | Miles Sanders | CAR | 70 | 268 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 20 | 13 | 85 | 6.3 | 0.2 | 46.0 | |
76 | AJ Dillon | GB | 65 | 238 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 18 | 13 | 97 | 7.3 | 0.4 | 46.0 | |
78 | Keaontay Ingram | KC | 66 | 257 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 6.9 | 0.3 | 44.8 | |
79 | Royce Freeman | DAL | 70 | 275 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 43.0 | |
80 | Evan Hull | IND | 56 | 208 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 20 | 15 | 106 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 40.9 | |
81 | Kenneth Gainwell | PHI | 47 | 198 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 22 | 16 | 106 | 6.5 | 0.4 | 39.9 | |
82 | Trayveon Williams | CIN | 52 | 206 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 14 | 11 | 72 | 6.6 | 0.5 | 38.6 | |
83 | Chase Edmonds | TB | 55 | 216 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 17 | 11 | 78 | 6.8 | 0.3 | 38.4 | |
84 | Ty Johnson | BUF | 43 | 183 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 14 | 11 | 85 | 7.6 | 1.0 | 38.2 | |
85 | Israel Abanikanda | NYJ | 44 | 185 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 19 | 14 | 118 | 8.4 | 0.3 | 38.1 | |
86 | Hassan Haskins | TEN | 44 | 179 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 15 | 12 | 89 | 7.5 | 0.3 | 35.1 | |
87 | DeWayne McBride | MIN | 60 | 227 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 11 | 4 | 27 | 6.5 | 0.1 | 35.0 | |
88 | Kenny McIntosh | SEA | 46 | 197 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 12 | 9 | 63 | 6.9 | 0.2 | 33.2 | |
89 | Deon Jackson | NYG | 48 | 174 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 20 | 14 | 87 | 6.2 | 0.3 | 32.7 | |
89 | Deuce Vaughn | DAL | 34 | 138 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 20 | 15 | 99 | 6.8 | 0.6 | 32.7 | |
91 | Julius Chestnut | TEN | 49 | 201 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 7.3 | 0.1 | 32.2 | |
92 | Ronnie Rivers | LAR | 38 | 153 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 13 | 10 | 73 | 7.4 | 0.3 | 30.4 | |
92 | Trey Sermon | IND | 46 | 170 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 20 | 8 | 62 | 7.4 | 0.3 | 30.4 | |
94 | Eric Gray | NYG | 36 | 145 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 10 | 11 | 76 | 7.1 | 0.2 | 30.0 | |
95 | Sione Vaki | DET | 29 | 118 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 19 | 15 | 108 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 29.2 | |
96 | D'Ernest Johnson | JAC | 39 | 151 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 14 | 11 | 66 | 6.3 | 0.2 | 28.9 | |
97 | Avery Williams | ATL | 35 | 148 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 11 | 9 | 60 | 6.8 | 0.5 | 26.9 | |
98 | Emari Demercado | ARI | 31 | 123 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 16 | 12 | 82 | 6.8 | 0.3 | 26.4 | |
99 | Dare Ogunbowale | HOU | 26 | 101 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 15 | 12 | 82 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 25.4 | |
100 | Pierre Strong Jr. | CLE | 37 | 143 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 6.7 | 0.1 | 23.4 |
If you want a more detailed look at how we project running backs for 2024, this is the page for you. In addition to rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdowns, you can also see how many rush attempts we project, what the yards per carry expectation is, and more.
These 2024 fantasy football RB projections are the result of a lot of things. For one, we built team projections, using sports betting information such as the preseason over/under win totals for each team, as well as the passing and rushing stats from the previous year. You can see a fuller explanation here.
From there, we also had to divide up the team stats among players, using factors like how similar players had done in the past, how the team had distributed touches in the past, and projected depth charts.
You may look at a running back like Derrick Henry and wonder why we have him projected for only 225 rush attempts, when he has led the NFL in rush attempts four of the last five years, including with 280 last season.
A primary reason is injury risk, which is part of our projection. Henry did not miss a game last year, so his volume stats a year ago were based on playing 17 games. His production also dropped despite playing every game, easily posting his lowest rush total per game in the last five years. The second factor, with Henry, is age, as part of our models are built on similar players. Similar backs at age 30 saw their rush attempts drop from an average around 280 at age 29, to under 200 rush attempts at age 30.
The reality is that a typical starting running back will average between 14 and 15 games played. Some will get hurt early; a few will play in every game. Our projections are based on an average outcome. Players that stay fully healthy (and where the team plays healthy, or the defense is far better than expected) have a good chance of exceeding the projection.
Jonathan Taylor is our projected leader in rush attempts, as he is 25 years old, is in a higher projected volume rush offense, and there is very little depth/competition behind him after Zack Moss signed with Cincinnati.
Christian McCaffrey is still our top projected running back in all formats, and has the highest projected number of receptions, at 61.
Several young players occupy the top of our rankings, with Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs, De'Von Achane, and Kyren Williams all in the top 8 of RB projected stats in most formats. While we project regression for some of these players, they all have the recent production and age profiles to justify their position.
We have several players in new places in 2024, and that includes some big names at the running back position. Saquon Barkley going to Philadelphia is the most prominent move. Derrick Henry (Baltimore),Joe Mixon (Houston), Aaron Jones (Minnesota), Tony Pollard (Tennessee), D'Andre Swift (Chicago), Devin Singletary (NY Giants), and Zack Moss (Cincinnati) are other moves among backs near the top of our rankings.
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