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Projections last updated: May 9, 2024 Rushing Receiving Fantasy
Rank Player Team Bye Att Yds Y/A TD Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD FPts
1 Travis Kelce KC 0 0 -- 0.0 114 78 877 11.3 7.8 134.5
2 Sam LaPorta DET 1 4 4.4 0.1 118 81 886 10.9 7.2 132.8
3 Trey McBride ARI 0 0 -- 0.0 124 84 881 10.5 5.0 118.1
4 Mark Andrews BAL 2 3 1.6 0.0 96 65 786 12.1 6.3 116.6
5 Kyle Pitts ATL 0 0 -- 0.0 100 65 813 12.5 5.1 111.9
6 Dalton Kincaid BUF 0 0 -- 0.0 107 72 766 10.6 4.8 105.4
7 George Kittle SF 1 4 4.4 0.0 83 53 728 13.8 5.3 105.0
8 Jake Ferguson DAL 0 0 -- 0.0 97 70 726 10.4 5.2 103.8
9 Evan Engram JAC 1 4 3.9 0.0 102 70 701 10.1 4.2 95.6
10 David Njoku CLE 0 0 -- 0.0 98 66 670 10.2 4.7 95.2
11 Brock Bowers LV 0 0 -- 0.0 87 55 627 11.4 3.4 83.1
12 Dallas Goedert PHI 0 0 -- 0.0 73 52 562 10.7 3.4 76.6
13 Dalton Schultz HOU 0 0 -- 0.0 81 55 567 10.3 3.2 75.9
14 Hunter Henry NE 0 0 -- 0.0 74 46 529 11.6 3.8 75.7
15 Pat Freiermuth PIT 0 0 -- 0.0 71 50 512 10.3 3.7 73.4
16 Cole Kmet CHI 0 0 -- 0.0 70 46 503 10.9 3.6 71.9
17 Isaiah Likely BAL 0 0 -- 0.0 61 41 508 12.3 3.5 71.8
18 Cade Otton TB 0 0 -- 0.0 70 49 502 10.3 3.5 71.2
19 Luke Musgrave GB 0 0 -- 0.0 73 51 522 10.2 3.1 70.8
20 Tyler Conklin NYJ 0 0 -- 0.0 77 51 505 9.8 3.0 68.5
21 T.J. Hockenson MIN 0 0 -- 0.0 80 50 509 10.3 2.9 68.3
22 Ben Sinnott WAS 0 0 -- 0.0 70 44 493 11.3 2.8 66.1
23 Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN 2 8 3.5 0.1 72 45 508 11.3 2.3 66.0
24 Juwan Johnson NO 0 0 -- 0.0 66 48 455 9.6 3.1 64.1
25 Jonnu Smith MIA 1 4 3.3 0.1 57 40 438 11.0 2.9 62.3
26 Noah Fant SEA 0 0 -- 0.0 57 39 417 10.7 2.3 55.5
27 Mike Gesicki CIN 0 0 -- 0.0 57 40 379 9.6 2.4 52.3
28 Tucker Kraft GB 0 0 -- 0.0 53 36 364 10.1 2.5 51.4
29 Greg Dulcich DEN 0 0 -- 0.0 58 34 386 11.4 2.1 51.2
30 Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR 1 5 4.2 0.0 58 37 346 9.3 2.3 48.9
31 Michael Mayer LV 0 0 -- 0.0 53 34 355 10.6 1.9 46.9
32 Dawson Knox BUF 0 0 -- 0.0 45 30 300 9.9 2.8 46.8
33 Donald Parham Jr. LAC 0 0 -- 0.0 39 27 291 10.9 2.4 43.5
34 Jelani Woods IND 0 0 -- 0.0 41 27 318 11.8 1.8 42.5
35 Daniel Bellinger NYG 0 0 -- 0.2 40 27 279 10.4 1.8 39.9
36 Hayden Hurst LAC 0 0 -- 0.0 40 27 287 10.8 1.5 37.7
37 Erick All CIN 0 0 -- 0.0 37 27 243 9.2 2.2 37.5
38 Noah Gray KC 1 4 2.8 0.0 35 25 253 10.2 1.8 36.5
39 Cade Stover HOU 0 0 -- 0.0 38 25 267 10.9 1.6 36.3
40 Foster Moreau NO 0 0 -- 0.0 36 24 248 10.4 1.9 36.2
41 Charlie Woerner ATL 0 0 -- 0.0 30 20 228 11.3 2.2 36.0
42 Luke Schoonmaker DAL 0 0 -- 0.0 33 24 221 9.4 2.0 34.1
43 Tyler Higbee LAR 0 0 -- 0.0 36 25 248 9.9 1.5 33.8
44 Gerald Everett CHI 0 0 -- 0.0 39 25 243 9.7 1.5 33.3
45 Pharaoh Brown SEA 0 0 -- 0.0 32 20 246 12.1 1.4 33.0
46 Zach Ertz WAS 0 0 -- 0.0 34 23 245 10.5 1.4 32.8
47 Davis Allen LAR 0 0 -- 0.0 32 20 231 11.5 1.6 32.7
48 Kylen Granson IND 0 0 -- 0.0 30 19 219 11.5 1.7 32.1
49 Theo Johnson NYG 0 0 -- 0.0 35 24 221 9.3 1.5 31.1
50 Colby Parkinson LAR 0 0 -- 0.0 36 24 227 9.5 1.3 30.5

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Fantasy Football TE Projections 2024

We predict the season stats for over 65 different tight ends on our 2024 fantasy football TE projections. In addition to receiving yards, receptions, and touchdowns, you can see how many targets we project, the yards per catch, and the rushing stats for each TE. 

These fantasy football TE projections are the result of a lot of things. For one, we built team projections, using sports betting information such as the preseason over/under win totals for each team, as well as the passing and rushing stats from the previous year. You can see a fuller explanation here.

From there, we also had to divide up the team stats among players, using things like how similar players had done in the past, how the team had distributed touches in the past, and projected depth charts. 

Why are the Fantasy Football TE projections for touchdowns so low?

Every year, we reference how touchdown projections for tight ends are much lower compared to what we just saw the season before, and we are often much lower on the tight end that led the league in touchdowns. Four years ago, Robert Tonyan of Green Bay tied Travis Kelce with 11 TD catches, but we projected a big dropoff based on his volume of other stats and extreme touchdown rate.

Two years ago, we projected Hunter Henry and Dawson Knox to have a bigger dropoff in touchdowns, because they had a higher rate scored compared to their receptions the year before. Knox finished with 6 touchdowns and Henry with 2, after both scored 9 touchdowns the year prior.

Identifying the specific tight ends that will score touchdowns, which are pretty rare events, can be difficult, and touchdowns tend to follow yards (that is, tight ends that catch more passes and gain more yards tend to score more over a longer sample size). 

It also depends on health, and outside of running back, tight end is the riskiest fantasy position in terms of games missed among starters. So our projections include the risk of games missed to injury in them as well, which lowers the numbers. 

There will be some tight ends who catch more touchdown passes than we expect in 2024, for a variety of reasons. But our fantasy football TE projections are conservative and have the tight ends more closely bunched in that regard.

2024 Fantasy Football TE Projections Highlights 

  • We have a mix of old and new at the top, as second-year TE Sam LaPorta and Taylor Swift's boyfrield are at the top of our projected stats, followed by second-year breakout Trey McBride of Arizona and veteran All-Pro Mark Andrews of Baltimore. 
  • Dalton Kincaid had a solid rookie year, and now could be in line for a lot of work with Stefon Diggs gone from Buffalo. 
  • Rookie Brock Bowers is one of the best tight end prospects in recent years, and joins a Las Vegas team that also has Michael Mayer (drafted second round last year). 
  • T.J. Hockenson's projection takes into account the risk that he misses games early in the year, returning from a knee injury.