Projections last updated: May 9, 2024 | Rushing | Receiving | Fantasy | ||||||||||
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Rank | Player | Team | Bye | Att | Yds | Y/A | TD | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | FPts |
1 | Travis Kelce | KC | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 114 | 78 | 877 | 11.3 | 7.8 | 134.5 | |
2 | Sam LaPorta | DET | 1 | 4 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 118 | 81 | 886 | 10.9 | 7.2 | 132.8 | |
3 | Trey McBride | ARI | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 124 | 84 | 881 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 118.1 | |
4 | Mark Andrews | BAL | 2 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 96 | 65 | 786 | 12.1 | 6.3 | 116.6 | |
5 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 100 | 65 | 813 | 12.5 | 5.1 | 111.9 | |
6 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 107 | 72 | 766 | 10.6 | 4.8 | 105.4 | |
7 | George Kittle | SF | 1 | 4 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 83 | 53 | 728 | 13.8 | 5.3 | 105.0 | |
8 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 97 | 70 | 726 | 10.4 | 5.2 | 103.8 | |
9 | Evan Engram | JAC | 1 | 4 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 102 | 70 | 701 | 10.1 | 4.2 | 95.6 | |
10 | David Njoku | CLE | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 98 | 66 | 670 | 10.2 | 4.7 | 95.2 | |
11 | Brock Bowers | LV | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 87 | 55 | 627 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 83.1 | |
12 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 73 | 52 | 562 | 10.7 | 3.4 | 76.6 | |
13 | Dalton Schultz | HOU | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 81 | 55 | 567 | 10.3 | 3.2 | 75.9 | |
14 | Hunter Henry | NE | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 74 | 46 | 529 | 11.6 | 3.8 | 75.7 | |
15 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 71 | 50 | 512 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 73.4 | |
16 | Cole Kmet | CHI | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 70 | 46 | 503 | 10.9 | 3.6 | 71.9 | |
17 | Isaiah Likely | BAL | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 61 | 41 | 508 | 12.3 | 3.5 | 71.8 | |
18 | Cade Otton | TB | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 70 | 49 | 502 | 10.3 | 3.5 | 71.2 | |
19 | Luke Musgrave | GB | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 73 | 51 | 522 | 10.2 | 3.1 | 70.8 | |
20 | Tyler Conklin | NYJ | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 77 | 51 | 505 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 68.5 | |
21 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 80 | 50 | 509 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 68.3 | |
22 | Ben Sinnott | WAS | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 70 | 44 | 493 | 11.3 | 2.8 | 66.1 | |
23 | Chigoziem Okonkwo | TEN | 2 | 8 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 72 | 45 | 508 | 11.3 | 2.3 | 66.0 | |
24 | Juwan Johnson | NO | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 66 | 48 | 455 | 9.6 | 3.1 | 64.1 | |
25 | Jonnu Smith | MIA | 1 | 4 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 57 | 40 | 438 | 11.0 | 2.9 | 62.3 | |
26 | Noah Fant | SEA | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 57 | 39 | 417 | 10.7 | 2.3 | 55.5 | |
27 | Mike Gesicki | CIN | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 57 | 40 | 379 | 9.6 | 2.4 | 52.3 | |
28 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 53 | 36 | 364 | 10.1 | 2.5 | 51.4 | |
29 | Greg Dulcich | DEN | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 58 | 34 | 386 | 11.4 | 2.1 | 51.2 | |
30 | Ja'Tavion Sanders | CAR | 1 | 5 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 58 | 37 | 346 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 48.9 | |
31 | Michael Mayer | LV | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 53 | 34 | 355 | 10.6 | 1.9 | 46.9 | |
32 | Dawson Knox | BUF | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 45 | 30 | 300 | 9.9 | 2.8 | 46.8 | |
33 | Donald Parham Jr. | LAC | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 39 | 27 | 291 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 43.5 | |
34 | Jelani Woods | IND | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 41 | 27 | 318 | 11.8 | 1.8 | 42.5 | |
35 | Daniel Bellinger | NYG | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.2 | 40 | 27 | 279 | 10.4 | 1.8 | 39.9 | |
36 | Hayden Hurst | LAC | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 40 | 27 | 287 | 10.8 | 1.5 | 37.7 | |
37 | Erick All | CIN | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 37 | 27 | 243 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 37.5 | |
38 | Noah Gray | KC | 1 | 4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 35 | 25 | 253 | 10.2 | 1.8 | 36.5 | |
39 | Cade Stover | HOU | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 38 | 25 | 267 | 10.9 | 1.6 | 36.3 | |
40 | Foster Moreau | NO | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 36 | 24 | 248 | 10.4 | 1.9 | 36.2 | |
41 | Charlie Woerner | ATL | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 30 | 20 | 228 | 11.3 | 2.2 | 36.0 | |
42 | Luke Schoonmaker | DAL | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 33 | 24 | 221 | 9.4 | 2.0 | 34.1 | |
43 | Tyler Higbee | LAR | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 36 | 25 | 248 | 9.9 | 1.5 | 33.8 | |
44 | Gerald Everett | CHI | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 39 | 25 | 243 | 9.7 | 1.5 | 33.3 | |
45 | Pharaoh Brown | SEA | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 32 | 20 | 246 | 12.1 | 1.4 | 33.0 | |
46 | Zach Ertz | WAS | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 34 | 23 | 245 | 10.5 | 1.4 | 32.8 | |
47 | Davis Allen | LAR | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 32 | 20 | 231 | 11.5 | 1.6 | 32.7 | |
48 | Kylen Granson | IND | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 30 | 19 | 219 | 11.5 | 1.7 | 32.1 | |
49 | Theo Johnson | NYG | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 35 | 24 | 221 | 9.3 | 1.5 | 31.1 | |
50 | Colby Parkinson | LAR | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 36 | 24 | 227 | 9.5 | 1.3 | 30.5 | |
51 | Durham Smythe | MIA | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 31 | 22 | 215 | 9.8 | 1.4 | 29.9 | |
52 | Jared Wiley | KC | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 25 | 17 | 188 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 29.5 | |
53 | Will Dissly | LAC | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 26 | 18 | 173 | 9.9 | 2.0 | 29.3 | |
54 | Brock Wright | DET | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 21 | 16 | 171 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 29.1 | |
55 | Tommy Tremble | CAR | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 34 | 22 | 206 | 9.2 | 1.4 | 29.0 | |
56 | Jeremy Ruckert | NYJ | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 29 | 21 | 193 | 9.4 | 1.6 | 28.9 | |
57 | Luke Farrell | JAC | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 27 | 19 | 181 | 9.4 | 1.3 | 25.9 | |
57 | Adam Trautman | DEN | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 28 | 19 | 169 | 8.7 | 1.5 | 25.9 | |
59 | Austin Hooper | NE | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 30 | 19 | 190 | 9.8 | 1.0 | 25.0 | |
60 | Tip Reiman | ARI | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 29 | 19 | 171 | 9.0 | 1.3 | 24.9 | |
61 | John FitzPatrick | ATL | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 20 | 14 | 151 | 11.2 | 1.5 | 24.1 | |
62 | Connor Heyward | PIT | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 27 | 21 | 181 | 8.8 | 1.0 | 24.0 | |
63 | Johnny Mundt | MIN | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 28 | 18 | 168 | 9.3 | 1.1 | 23.4 | |
64 | Jordan Akins | CLE | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 24 | 16 | 145 | 9.1 | 1.3 | 22.3 | |
65 | Brenton Strange | JAC | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 20 | 13 | 132 | 9.9 | 1.2 | 20.4 |
We predict the season stats for over 65 different tight ends on our 2024 fantasy football TE projections. In addition to receiving yards, receptions, and touchdowns, you can see how many targets we project, the yards per catch, and the rushing stats for each TE.
These fantasy football TE projections are the result of a lot of things. For one, we built team projections, using sports betting information such as the preseason over/under win totals for each team, as well as the passing and rushing stats from the previous year. You can see a fuller explanation here.
From there, we also had to divide up the team stats among players, using things like how similar players had done in the past, how the team had distributed touches in the past, and projected depth charts.
Every year, we reference how touchdown projections for tight ends are much lower compared to what we just saw the season before, and we are often much lower on the tight end that led the league in touchdowns. Four years ago, Robert Tonyan of Green Bay tied Travis Kelce with 11 TD catches, but we projected a big dropoff based on his volume of other stats and extreme touchdown rate.
Two years ago, we projected Hunter Henry and Dawson Knox to have a bigger dropoff in touchdowns, because they had a higher rate scored compared to their receptions the year before. Knox finished with 6 touchdowns and Henry with 2, after both scored 9 touchdowns the year prior.
Identifying the specific tight ends that will score touchdowns, which are pretty rare events, can be difficult, and touchdowns tend to follow yards (that is, tight ends that catch more passes and gain more yards tend to score more over a longer sample size).
It also depends on health, and outside of running back, tight end is the riskiest fantasy position in terms of games missed among starters. So our projections include the risk of games missed to injury in them as well, which lowers the numbers.
There will be some tight ends who catch more touchdown passes than we expect in 2024, for a variety of reasons. But our fantasy football TE projections are conservative and have the tight ends more closely bunched in that regard.
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