NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN MD
Points 61.4 80.6
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 23.4
Points From Free Throws 12.2 18.4
Shooting ALCN MD
Field Goals Made 21.7 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 55.4
Field Goal % 39.4% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 63.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 12.2 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 26.2
Free Throw % 72.1% 70.0%
Ball Control ALCN MD
Rebounds 24.7 43.5
Rebounds - Defensive 18.5 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 14.3
Turnovers 10.5 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.6
Steals 6.3 4.7
Fouls 15.9 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN MD
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 72.3
% of Possessions with ALCN MD
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 29.1%
Player Fouled 20.2% 23.1%
Turnover 15.3% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN MD
Shot Blocked 8.4% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 17.5% 43.6%