NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).
Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN MD
Points 70.3 80.5
Total Points   150.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 17.3
Points From Free Throws 12.8 31.4
Shooting ALCN MD
Field Goals Made 25.7 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 49.5 44.1
Field Goal % 52.0% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 28.6 24.7
2 Point Shooting % 68.7% 64.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 12.8 31.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 36.5
Free Throw % 81.8% 86.1%
Ball Control ALCN MD
Rebounds 26.3 24.0
Rebounds - Defensive 18.0 17.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 7.0
Turnovers 19.9 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.3 1.9
Steals 8.0 7.4
Fouls 22.6 8.3

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +1.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN MD
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 60.5 65.4
% of Possessions with ALCN MD
2 Point Attempt 35.3% 30.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 23.9%
Player Fouled 11.5% 31.4%
Turnover 27.6% 19.0%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN MD
Shot Blocked 4.3% 10.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.8% 28.0%