We have opening and closing point spreads for 14029 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 6900-6890-239 and covered the spread 50.0% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-8 11 5-6-0 45.5%
-7.5 22 6-12-4 33.3%
-7 24 10-14-0 41.7%
-6.5 35 23-12-0 65.7%
-6 57 26-31-0 45.6%
-5.5 82 38-44-0 46.3%
-5 94 49-45-0 52.1%
-4.5 133 75-57-1 56.8%
-4 187 90-93-4 49.2%
-3.5 291 147-138-6 51.6%
-3 463 223-232-8 49.0%
-2.5 624 309-309-6 50.0%
-2 702 333-355-14 48.4%
-1.5 891 419-457-15 47.8%
-1 1140 525-597-18 46.8%
-0.5 1449 762-664-23 53.4%
0 2089 1020-1031-38 49.7%
0.5 1421 716-687-18 51.0%
1 1045 533-493-19 51.9%
1.5 802 389-403-10 49.1%
2 689 330-342-17 49.1%
2.5 500 256-239-5 51.7%
3 365 175-184-6 48.7%
3.5 301 139-152-10 47.8%
4 191 108-77-6 58.4%
4.5 147 72-70-5 50.7%
5 97 44-53-0 45.4%
5.5 68 28-37-3 43.1%
6 58 28-30-0 48.3%
6.5 24 8-15-1 34.8%
7 12 5-6-1 45.5%
7.5 8 4-3-1 57.1%
8 7 5-2-0 71.4%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.