We have opening and closing point spreads for 12174 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 5993-5986-195 and covered the spread 50.0% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-8 11 5-6-0 45.5%
-7.5 19 4-11-4 26.7%
-7 19 8-11-0 42.1%
-6.5 28 18-10-0 64.3%
-6 46 20-26-0 43.5%
-5.5 68 33-35-0 48.5%
-5 79 40-39-0 50.6%
-4.5 117 67-49-1 57.8%
-4 157 76-77-4 49.7%
-3.5 252 128-120-4 51.6%
-3 392 187-198-7 48.6%
-2.5 533 258-269-6 49.0%
-2 618 296-312-10 48.7%
-1.5 780 363-407-10 47.1%
-1 976 452-510-14 47.0%
-0.5 1287 686-580-21 54.2%
0 1908 930-945-33 49.6%
0.5 1238 622-600-16 50.9%
1 912 461-435-16 51.5%
1.5 694 348-336-10 50.9%
2 576 276-286-14 49.1%
2.5 419 220-197-2 52.8%
3 323 153-165-5 48.1%
3.5 245 117-120-8 49.4%
4 147 82-61-4 57.3%
4.5 111 50-58-3 46.3%
5 80 35-45-0 43.8%
5.5 55 23-31-1 42.6%
6 49 22-27-0 44.9%
6.5 17 4-13-0 23.5%
7 9 4-4-1 50.0%
7.5 6 2-3-1 40.0%
8 3 3-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.