We have opening and closing point spreads for 12229 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 6022-6011-196 and covered the spread 50.0% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-8 11 5-6-0 45.5%
-7.5 19 4-11-4 26.7%
-7 19 8-11-0 42.1%
-6.5 28 18-10-0 64.3%
-6 46 20-26-0 43.5%
-5.5 68 33-35-0 48.5%
-5 80 40-40-0 50.0%
-4.5 117 67-49-1 57.8%
-4 157 76-77-4 49.7%
-3.5 252 128-120-4 51.6%
-3 393 188-198-7 48.7%
-2.5 539 263-270-6 49.3%
-2 621 297-313-11 48.7%
-1.5 785 366-409-10 47.2%
-1 980 455-511-14 47.1%
-0.5 1292 688-583-21 54.1%
0 1915 933-949-33 49.6%
0.5 1242 624-602-16 50.9%
1 917 464-437-16 51.5%
1.5 698 350-338-10 50.9%
2 579 276-289-14 48.8%
2.5 421 221-198-2 52.7%
3 324 154-165-5 48.3%
3.5 245 117-120-8 49.4%
4 150 84-62-4 57.5%
4.5 112 50-59-3 45.9%
5 80 35-45-0 43.8%
5.5 55 23-31-1 42.6%
6 49 22-27-0 44.9%
6.5 17 4-13-0 23.5%
7 9 4-4-1 50.0%
7.5 6 2-3-1 40.0%
8 3 3-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.