We have opening and closing point spreads for 14958 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 7370-7331-257 and covered the spread 50.1% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-8 12 6-6-0 50.0%
-7.5 22 6-12-4 33.3%
-7 25 10-15-0 40.0%
-6.5 35 23-12-0 65.7%
-6 58 26-32-0 44.8%
-5.5 84 39-45-0 46.4%
-5 95 49-46-0 51.6%
-4.5 136 75-60-1 55.6%
-4 197 97-96-4 50.3%
-3.5 302 150-145-7 50.8%
-3 491 240-243-8 49.7%
-2.5 649 323-320-6 50.2%
-2 738 348-376-14 48.1%
-1.5 937 438-484-15 47.5%
-1 1239 578-643-18 47.3%
-0.5 1545 809-707-29 53.4%
0 2295 1122-1131-42 49.8%
0.5 1508 763-725-20 51.3%
1 1130 577-533-20 52.0%
1.5 857 422-423-12 49.9%
2 730 350-363-17 49.1%
2.5 529 275-249-5 52.5%
3 387 183-198-6 48.0%
3.5 314 144-159-11 47.5%
4 198 113-79-6 58.9%
4.5 158 77-75-6 50.7%
5 103 48-55-0 46.6%
5.5 71 28-40-3 41.2%
6 58 28-30-0 48.3%
6.5 26 8-17-1 32.0%
7 12 5-6-1 45.5%
7.5 8 4-3-1 57.1%
8 9 6-3-0 66.7%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.