Results Based on Overall Line Movement

Overall Line Movement of 3+ Toward Favorite
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 162 76-86-0 46.9%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 312 156-152-4 50.6%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 106 55-48-3 53.4%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 62 27-34-1 44.3%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 4 2-2-0 50.0%
Total 646 316-322-8 49.5%

Overall Line Movement of 2 or 2.5 Toward Favorite
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 264 141-117-6 54.7%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 470 227-232-11 49.5%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 209 103-102-4 50.2%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 135 68-67-0 50.4%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 20 7-12-1 36.8%
Total 1098 546-530-22 50.7%

Overall Line Movement of 0.5 to 1.5 Toward Favorite
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 1095 526-555-14 48.7%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 2581 1294-1232-55 51.2%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 1144 561-569-14 49.6%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 663 306-347-10 46.9%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 135 65-67-3 49.2%
Total 5618 2752-2770-96 49.8%

Closing Line Same As Opening Line
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 579 277-296-6 48.3%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 1410 732-660-18 52.6%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 660 338-309-13 52.2%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 425 209-210-6 49.9%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 75 36-38-1 48.6%
Total 3149 1592-1513-44 51.3%

Overall Line Movement of 0.5 to 1.5 Toward Underdog
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 540 272-260-8 51.1%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 2142 1085-1026-31 51.4%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 1153 540-590-23 47.8%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 755 363-378-14 49.0%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 145 66-78-1 45.8%
Total 4735 2326-2332-77 49.9%

Overall Line Movement of 2.0 to 2.5 Toward Underdog
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 249 113-132-4 46.1%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 374 175-193-6 47.6%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 193 100-86-7 53.8%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 122 62-54-6 53.4%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 31 16-15-0 51.6%
Total 969 466-480-23 49.3%

Overall Line Movement of 3+ Toward Underdog
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 534 266-256-12 51.0%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 416 175-235-6 42.7%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 123 54-66-3 45.0%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 113 54-57-2 48.6%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 26 13-13-0 50.0%
Total 1212 562-627-23 47.3%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the direction and size of the line movement associated with each game, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite. Within the tables, each line represents a different range of opening spreads, from games with only a small opening favorite to games with a large favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.