NFL Odds Movement: Over/Under Results By Line Movement

We have opening and closing totals lines for 3473 games since the 2008 season. The Over-Under-Push record in those games based on the opening line was 1709-1719-45 which is 49.9% overs (ignoring pushes).

Historical Over/Under Movement Results

Movement	# Games	Over Record	Over %
6	2	0-2-0	0.0%
5.5	2	1-1-0	50.0%
5	5	2-3-0	40.0%
4.5	6	5-1-0	83.3%
4	16	9-7-0	56.2%
3.5	31	15-14-2	51.7%
3	44	18-26-0	40.9%
2.5	117	53-63-1	45.7%
2	156	79-76-1	51.0%
1.5	287	141-144-2	49.5%
1	327	158-167-2	48.6%
0.5	380	180-189-11	48.8%
0	475	229-238-8	49.0%
-0.5	461	244-215-2	53.2%
-1	332	176-153-3	53.5%
-1.5	290	145-142-3	50.5%
-2	220	106-111-3	48.8%
-2.5	128	52-70-6	42.6%
-3	87	44-43-0	50.6%
-3.5	37	17-19-1	47.2%
-4	32	14-18-0	43.8%
-4.5	9	5-4-0	55.6%
-5	7	4-3-0	57.1%
-5.5	5	2-3-0	40.0%
-6	7	5-2-0	71.4%
-6.5	2	2-0-0	100.0%
-7	2	0-2-0	0.0%
-7.5	3	1-2-0	33.3%
-8.5	1	1-0-0	100.0%
-9	1	0-1-0	0.0%
-11	1	1-0-0	100.0%

About the Over/Under Movement Data

This table shows the number of games that went over the closing totals line, based on the difference between the opening and closing totals line.

For example, a "Movement" value of 3 means that the over/under line increased by three points between opening and closing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 50, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Negative "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the over/under line decreasing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 44, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3.

Over Record and Over % refer to the number of games that went over vs. under for each matching scenario, measured against the closing total. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Over %.