NFL Odds Movement: Over/Under Results By Line Movement

We have opening and closing totals lines for 3235 games since the 2008 season. The Over-Under-Push record in those games based on the opening line was 1595-1598-42 which is 50.0% overs (ignoring pushes).

Historical Over/Under Movement Results

Movement	# Games	Over Record	Over %
6	2	0-2-0	0.0%
5	4	2-2-0	50.0%
4.5	6	5-1-0	83.3%
4	15	8-7-0	53.3%
3.5	24	11-12-1	47.8%
3	35	15-20-0	42.9%
2.5	106	50-55-1	47.6%
2	144	73-70-1	51.0%
1.5	262	129-131-2	49.6%
1	306	149-155-2	49.0%
0.5	363	170-182-11	48.3%
0	456	220-228-8	49.1%
-0.5	438	235-201-2	53.9%
-1	315	166-146-3	53.2%
-1.5	273	137-134-2	50.6%
-2	203	96-105-2	47.8%
-2.5	116	47-63-6	42.7%
-3	78	41-37-0	52.6%
-3.5	33	14-18-1	43.8%
-4	29	12-17-0	41.4%
-4.5	6	3-3-0	50.0%
-5	5	2-3-0	40.0%
-5.5	4	2-2-0	50.0%
-6	6	4-2-0	66.7%
-6.5	2	2-0-0	100.0%
-7	2	0-2-0	0.0%
-7.5	1	1-0-0	100.0%
-11	1	1-0-0	100.0%

About the Over/Under Movement Data

This table shows the number of games that went over the closing totals line, based on the difference between the opening and closing totals line.

For example, a "Movement" value of 3 means that the over/under line increased by three points between opening and closing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 50, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Negative "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the over/under line decreasing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 44, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3.

Over Record and Over % refer to the number of games that went over vs. under for each matching scenario, measured against the closing total. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Over %.