NFL Odds Movement: Over/Under Results By Line Movement

We have opening and closing totals lines for 2937 games since the 2008 season. The Over-Under-Push record in those games based on the opening line was 1444-1452-41 which is 49.9% overs (ignoring pushes).

Historical Over/Under Movement Results

Movement	# Games	Over Record	Over %
6	2	0-2-0	0.0%
5	4	2-2-0	50.0%
4.5	5	4-1-0	80.0%
4	12	6-6-0	50.0%
3.5	20	9-10-1	47.4%
3	30	13-17-0	43.3%
2.5	95	42-52-1	44.7%
2	133	70-62-1	53.0%
1.5	241	122-117-2	51.0%
1	274	138-134-2	50.7%
0.5	335	155-169-11	47.8%
0	417	198-212-7	48.3%
-0.5	403	218-183-2	54.4%
-1	298	156-139-3	52.9%
-1.5	246	119-125-2	48.8%
-2	183	85-96-2	47.0%
-2.5	101	40-55-6	42.1%
-3	63	32-31-0	50.8%
-3.5	26	11-14-1	44.0%
-4	25	10-15-0	40.0%
-4.5	6	3-3-0	50.0%
-5	4	2-2-0	50.0%
-5.5	4	2-2-0	50.0%
-6	4	3-1-0	75.0%
-6.5	2	2-0-0	100.0%
-7	2	0-2-0	0.0%
-7.5	1	1-0-0	100.0%
-11	1	1-0-0	100.0%

About the Over/Under Movement Data

This table shows the number of games that went over the closing totals line, based on the difference between the opening and closing totals line.

For example, a "Movement" value of 3 means that the over/under line increased by three points between opening and closing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 50, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Negative "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the over/under line decreasing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 44, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3.

Over Record and Over % refer to the number of games that went over vs. under for each matching scenario, measured against the closing total. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Over %.