We have opening and closing totals lines for 4820 games since the 2008 season. The Over-Under-Push record in those games based on the opening line was 2351-2410-59 which is 49.4% overs (ignoring pushes).
| Movement | # Games | Over Record | Over % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% |
| 6 | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% |
| 5.5 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% |
| 5 | 11 | 5-6-0 | 45.5% |
| 4.5 | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% |
| 4 | 23 | 12-11-0 | 52.2% |
| 3.5 | 49 | 23-24-2 | 48.9% |
| 3 | 84 | 45-39-0 | 53.6% |
| 2.5 | 156 | 76-79-1 | 49.0% |
| 2 | 233 | 111-121-1 | 47.8% |
| 1.5 | 358 | 165-189-4 | 46.6% |
| 1 | 452 | 219-230-3 | 48.8% |
| 0.5 | 528 | 249-268-11 | 48.2% |
| 0 | 626 | 316-301-9 | 51.2% |
| -0.5 | 608 | 303-301-4 | 50.2% |
| -1 | 492 | 257-231-4 | 52.7% |
| -1.5 | 384 | 184-195-5 | 48.5% |
| -2 | 298 | 149-144-5 | 50.9% |
| -2.5 | 171 | 74-88-9 | 45.7% |
| -3 | 126 | 61-65-0 | 48.4% |
| -3.5 | 73 | 38-34-1 | 52.8% |
| -4 | 61 | 23-38-0 | 37.7% |
| -4.5 | 17 | 7-10-0 | 41.2% |
| -5 | 13 | 7-6-0 | 53.8% |
| -5.5 | 9 | 2-7-0 | 22.2% |
| -6 | 9 | 5-4-0 | 55.6% |
| -6.5 | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% |
| -7 | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% |
| -7.5 | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% |
| -8 | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% |
| -8.5 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% |
| -9 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% |
| -9.5 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% |
| -10 | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% |
| -11 | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% |
This table shows the number of games that went over the closing totals line, based on the difference between the opening and closing totals line.
For example, a "Movement" value of 3 means that the over/under line increased by three points between opening and closing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 50, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.
Negative "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the over/under line decreasing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 44, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3.
Over Record and Over % refer to the number of games that went over vs. under for each matching scenario, measured against the closing total. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Over %.
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