NFL Odds Movement: Over/Under Results By Line Movement

We have opening and closing totals lines for 3030 games since the 2008 season. The Over-Under-Push record in those games based on the opening line was 1487-1502-41 which is 49.7% overs (ignoring pushes).

Historical Over/Under Movement Results

Movement	# Games	Over Record	Over %
6	2	0-2-0	0.0%
5	4	2-2-0	50.0%
4.5	5	4-1-0	80.0%
4	13	7-6-0	53.8%
3.5	22	10-11-1	47.6%
3	30	13-17-0	43.3%
2.5	98	44-53-1	45.4%
2	139	70-68-1	50.7%
1.5	249	124-123-2	50.2%
1	285	141-142-2	49.8%
0.5	340	158-171-11	48.0%
0	429	204-218-7	48.3%
-0.5	413	222-189-2	54.0%
-1	302	158-141-3	52.8%
-1.5	259	127-130-2	49.4%
-2	188	88-98-2	47.3%
-2.5	105	42-57-6	42.4%
-3	69	36-33-0	52.2%
-3.5	29	13-15-1	46.4%
-4	25	10-15-0	40.0%
-4.5	6	3-3-0	50.0%
-5	4	2-2-0	50.0%
-5.5	4	2-2-0	50.0%
-6	4	3-1-0	75.0%
-6.5	2	2-0-0	100.0%
-7	2	0-2-0	0.0%
-7.5	1	1-0-0	100.0%
-11	1	1-0-0	100.0%

About the Over/Under Movement Data

This table shows the number of games that went over the closing totals line, based on the difference between the opening and closing totals line.

For example, a "Movement" value of 3 means that the over/under line increased by three points between opening and closing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 50, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Negative "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the over/under line decreasing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 44, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3.

Over Record and Over % refer to the number of games that went over vs. under for each matching scenario, measured against the closing total. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Over %.