We have opening and closing point spreads for 22134 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 10854-10915-365 and covered the spread 49.9% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-7 23 14-9-0 60.9%
-6.5 25 10-15-0 40.0%
-6 46 19-25-2 43.2%
-5.5 52 20-32-0 38.5%
-5 73 40-32-1 55.6%
-4.5 126 57-65-4 46.7%
-4 179 75-101-3 42.6%
-3.5 260 125-129-6 49.2%
-3 398 197-198-3 49.9%
-2.5 637 319-308-10 50.9%
-2 1078 529-530-19 50.0%
-1.5 1616 800-792-24 50.3%
-1 2441 1144-1256-41 47.7%
-0.5 3054 1557-1444-53 51.9%
0 3690 1833-1806-51 50.4%
0.5 2789 1376-1365-48 50.2%
1 1848 917-894-37 50.6%
1.5 1015 502-506-7 49.8%
2 760 372-369-19 50.2%
2.5 517 223-283-11 44.1%
3 408 205-196-7 51.1%
3.5 311 148-157-6 48.5%
4 244 103-136-5 43.1%
4.5 169 86-79-4 52.1%
5 137 72-65-0 52.6%
5.5 87 46-38-3 54.8%
6 64 28-36-0 43.8%
6.5 50 22-28-0 44.0%
7 37 15-21-1 41.7%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.