We have opening and closing point spreads for 17431 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 8564-8580-287 and covered the spread 50.0% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-7 17 8-9-0 47.1%
-6.5 17 6-11-0 35.3%
-6 27 11-15-1 42.3%
-5.5 36 15-21-0 41.7%
-5 44 23-21-0 52.3%
-4.5 76 37-37-2 50.0%
-4 99 41-57-1 41.8%
-3.5 176 88-86-2 50.6%
-3 279 136-140-3 49.3%
-2.5 433 215-209-9 50.7%
-2 778 385-381-12 50.3%
-1.5 1238 605-617-16 49.5%
-1 1920 907-980-33 48.1%
-0.5 2536 1281-1210-45 51.4%
0 3112 1575-1494-43 51.3%
0.5 2384 1166-1174-44 49.8%
1 1480 735-718-27 50.6%
1.5 791 380-405-6 48.4%
2 551 278-256-17 52.1%
2.5 393 177-211-5 45.6%
3 295 153-137-5 52.8%
3.5 232 103-124-5 45.4%
4 157 65-88-4 42.5%
4.5 115 56-56-3 50.0%
5 89 48-41-0 53.9%
5.5 58 29-26-3 52.7%
6 45 20-25-0 44.4%
6.5 28 11-17-0 39.3%
7 25 10-14-1 41.7%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.