We have opening and closing point spreads for 20019 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 9849-9832-338 and covered the spread 50.0% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-7 20 11-9-0 55.0%
-6.5 23 9-14-0 39.1%
-6 42 17-23-2 42.5%
-5.5 47 17-30-0 36.2%
-5 61 30-30-1 50.0%
-4.5 104 47-54-3 46.5%
-4 150 62-85-3 42.2%
-3.5 220 110-107-3 50.7%
-3 349 172-174-3 49.7%
-2.5 549 276-263-10 51.2%
-2 920 452-451-17 50.1%
-1.5 1460 717-721-22 49.9%
-1 2184 1022-1123-39 47.6%
-0.5 2829 1436-1343-50 51.7%
0 3413 1716-1649-48 51.0%
0.5 2635 1304-1284-47 50.4%
1 1663 828-804-31 50.7%
1.5 923 458-458-7 50.0%
2 661 331-312-18 51.5%
2.5 466 202-255-9 44.2%
3 352 183-162-7 53.0%
3.5 274 125-144-5 46.5%
4 204 87-112-5 43.7%
4.5 149 73-72-4 50.3%
5 118 64-54-0 54.2%
5.5 75 42-30-3 58.3%
6 55 25-30-0 45.5%
6.5 43 20-23-0 46.5%
7 30 13-16-1 44.8%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.