We have opening and closing point spreads for 18575 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 9126-9134-315 and covered the spread 50.0% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-7 19 10-9-0 52.6%
-6.5 20 7-13-0 35.0%
-6 32 14-17-1 45.2%
-5.5 42 15-27-0 35.7%
-5 53 29-23-1 55.8%
-4.5 87 41-44-2 48.2%
-4 118 48-67-3 41.7%
-3.5 188 96-90-2 51.6%
-3 311 154-154-3 50.0%
-2.5 472 235-227-10 50.9%
-2 840 411-413-16 49.9%
-1.5 1337 657-661-19 49.8%
-1 2045 951-1055-39 47.4%
-0.5 2652 1347-1259-46 51.7%
0 3256 1642-1568-46 51.2%
0.5 2496 1229-1223-44 50.1%
1 1549 770-752-27 50.6%
1.5 857 419-432-6 49.2%
2 596 299-279-18 51.7%
2.5 436 190-237-9 44.5%
3 323 170-147-6 53.6%
3.5 245 108-132-5 45.0%
4 181 77-100-4 43.5%
4.5 135 66-65-4 50.4%
5 106 58-48-0 54.7%
5.5 66 35-28-3 55.6%
6 49 22-27-0 44.9%
6.5 36 15-21-0 41.7%
7 28 11-16-1 40.7%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.