We have opening and closing point spreads for 22649 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 11118-11166-365 and covered the spread 49.9% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-7 24 14-10-0 58.3%
-6.5 25 10-15-0 40.0%
-6 47 20-25-2 44.4%
-5.5 52 20-32-0 38.5%
-5 75 41-33-1 55.4%
-4.5 126 57-65-4 46.7%
-4 188 80-105-3 43.2%
-3.5 260 125-129-6 49.2%
-3 414 205-206-3 49.9%
-2.5 642 324-308-10 51.3%
-2 1118 552-547-19 50.2%
-1.5 1627 805-798-24 50.2%
-1 2568 1206-1321-41 47.7%
-0.5 3061 1560-1448-53 51.9%
0 3813 1899-1863-51 50.5%
0.5 2792 1378-1366-48 50.2%
1 1942 966-939-37 50.7%
1.5 1018 503-508-7 49.8%
2 791 389-383-19 50.4%
2.5 518 223-284-11 44.0%
3 420 209-204-7 50.6%
3.5 314 149-159-6 48.4%
4 257 107-145-5 42.5%
4.5 171 88-79-4 52.7%
5 144 73-71-0 50.7%
5.5 87 46-38-3 54.8%
6 66 30-36-0 45.5%
6.5 50 22-28-0 44.0%
7 39 17-21-1 44.7%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.