We have opening and closing point spreads for 21281 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 10462-10457-362 and covered the spread 50.0% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-7 22 13-9-0 59.1%
-6.5 25 10-15-0 40.0%
-6 45 18-25-2 41.9%
-5.5 51 20-31-0 39.2%
-5 68 35-32-1 52.2%
-4.5 122 56-62-4 47.5%
-4 166 68-95-3 41.7%
-3.5 253 124-123-6 50.2%
-3 382 188-191-3 49.6%
-2.5 611 304-297-10 50.6%
-2 1014 499-496-19 50.2%
-1.5 1565 775-766-24 50.3%
-1 2307 1080-1188-39 47.6%
-0.5 2970 1511-1406-53 51.8%
0 3550 1776-1723-51 50.8%
0.5 2738 1355-1335-48 50.4%
1 1767 876-855-36 50.6%
1.5 987 490-490-7 50.0%
2 718 359-340-19 51.4%
2.5 502 218-273-11 44.4%
3 376 193-176-7 52.3%
3.5 301 142-153-6 48.1%
4 221 93-123-5 43.1%
4.5 163 82-77-4 51.6%
5 128 68-60-0 53.1%
5.5 87 46-38-3 54.8%
6 58 26-32-0 44.8%
6.5 49 22-27-0 44.9%
7 35 15-19-1 44.1%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.