We have opening and closing point spreads for 4327 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 2049-2166-112 and covered the spread 48.6% of the time.

## Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-11.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-8 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-7.5 3 1-2-0 33.3%
-7 2 0-2-0 0.0%
-6.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-6 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-5.5 11 7-3-1 70.0%
-5 7 3-3-1 50.0%
-4.5 15 5-10-0 33.3%
-4 10 3-7-0 30.0%
-3.5 31 10-19-2 34.5%
-3 71 30-41-0 42.3%
-2.5 141 67-72-2 48.2%
-2 199 91-99-9 47.9%
-1.5 236 112-119-5 48.5%
-1 367 184-174-9 51.4%
-0.5 574 281-273-20 50.7%
0 896 424-449-23 48.6%
0.5 582 275-291-16 48.6%
1 311 145-159-7 47.7%
1.5 229 108-119-2 47.6%
2 259 127-125-7 50.4%
2.5 112 50-62-0 44.6%
3 73 31-38-4 44.9%
3.5 63 32-31-0 50.8%
4 56 24-30-2 44.4%
4.5 18 6-11-1 35.3%
5 21 11-10-0 52.4%
5.5 8 4-4-0 50.0%
6 5 4-1-0 80.0%
6.5 8 3-4-1 42.9%
7 2 0-2-0 0.0%
7.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
8 2 2-0-0 100.0%
8.5 4 3-1-0 75.0%
9.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
11 1 0-1-0 0.0%
12.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%

## About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.