We have opening and closing point spreads for 4042 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 1912-2030-100 and covered the spread 48.5% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-11.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-8 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-7.5 3 1-2-0 33.3%
-7 2 0-2-0 0.0%
-6.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-6 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-5.5 9 5-3-1 62.5%
-5 7 3-3-1 50.0%
-4.5 14 5-9-0 35.7%
-4 7 3-4-0 42.9%
-3.5 27 7-18-2 28.0%
-3 66 29-37-0 43.9%
-2.5 132 63-67-2 48.5%
-2 190 85-97-8 46.7%
-1.5 222 105-112-5 48.4%
-1 335 169-161-5 51.2%
-0.5 531 259-254-18 50.5%
0 849 399-429-21 48.2%
0.5 551 261-274-16 48.8%
1 292 138-148-6 48.3%
1.5 217 99-116-2 46.0%
2 247 124-116-7 51.7%
2.5 102 46-56-0 45.1%
3 67 27-37-3 42.2%
3.5 57 29-28-0 50.9%
4 48 19-28-1 40.4%
4.5 15 6-8-1 42.9%
5 18 10-8-0 55.6%
5.5 6 4-2-0 66.7%
6 5 4-1-0 80.0%
6.5 5 1-3-1 25.0%
7 2 0-2-0 0.0%
7.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
8 2 2-0-0 100.0%
8.5 3 3-0-0 100.0%
9.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
11 1 0-1-0 0.0%
12.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.