We have opening and closing point spreads for 4897 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 2339-2435-123 and covered the spread 49.0% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-11.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-8 3 2-1-0 66.7%
-7.5 3 1-2-0 33.3%
-7 3 0-3-0 0.0%
-6.5 3 2-1-0 66.7%
-6 3 1-2-0 33.3%
-5.5 11 7-3-1 70.0%
-5 8 3-4-1 42.9%
-4.5 19 8-11-0 42.1%
-4 12 5-7-0 41.7%
-3.5 38 15-21-2 41.7%
-3 85 37-47-1 44.0%
-2.5 160 74-84-2 46.8%
-2 221 102-109-10 48.3%
-1.5 275 129-140-6 48.0%
-1 430 210-209-11 50.1%
-0.5 660 326-314-20 50.9%
0 991 476-492-23 49.2%
0.5 652 310-323-19 49.0%
1 345 164-173-8 48.7%
1.5 253 119-131-3 47.6%
2 279 140-132-7 51.5%
2.5 127 59-68-0 46.5%
3 83 36-43-4 45.6%
3.5 79 43-35-1 55.1%
4 67 27-38-2 41.5%
4.5 22 9-12-1 42.9%
5 25 14-11-0 56.0%
5.5 8 4-4-0 50.0%
6 6 4-2-0 66.7%
6.5 9 3-5-1 37.5%
7 3 0-3-0 0.0%
7.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
8 2 2-0-0 100.0%
8.5 4 3-1-0 75.0%
9.5 4 2-2-0 50.0%
11 1 0-1-0 0.0%
12.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.