We have opening and closing point spreads for 3938 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 1863-1976-99 and covered the spread 48.5% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-11.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-7.5 3 1-2-0 33.3%
-7 2 0-2-0 0.0%
-6.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-6 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-5.5 7 4-2-1 66.7%
-5 6 2-3-1 40.0%
-4.5 13 5-8-0 38.5%
-4 7 3-4-0 42.9%
-3.5 25 7-16-2 30.4%
-3 62 28-34-0 45.2%
-2.5 132 63-67-2 48.5%
-2 183 83-92-8 47.4%
-1.5 215 102-109-4 48.3%
-1 324 163-156-5 51.1%
-0.5 520 253-249-18 50.4%
0 832 391-420-21 48.2%
0.5 539 255-268-16 48.8%
1 291 138-147-6 48.4%
1.5 212 95-115-2 45.2%
2 242 121-114-7 51.5%
2.5 100 46-54-0 46.0%
3 66 26-37-3 41.3%
3.5 55 28-27-0 50.9%
4 45 18-26-1 40.9%
4.5 14 6-7-1 46.2%
5 14 9-5-0 64.3%
5.5 4 2-2-0 50.0%
6 5 4-1-0 80.0%
6.5 5 1-3-1 25.0%
7 2 0-2-0 0.0%
7.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
8 2 2-0-0 100.0%
8.5 3 3-0-0 100.0%
11 1 0-1-0 0.0%
12.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.