We have opening and closing point spreads for 4612 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 2204-2290-118 and covered the spread 49.0% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-11.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-8 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-7.5 3 1-2-0 33.3%
-7 2 0-2-0 0.0%
-6.5 3 2-1-0 66.7%
-6 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-5.5 11 7-3-1 70.0%
-5 7 3-3-1 50.0%
-4.5 16 6-10-0 37.5%
-4 12 5-7-0 41.7%
-3.5 34 13-19-2 40.6%
-3 78 32-46-0 41.0%
-2.5 151 73-76-2 49.0%
-2 209 96-103-10 48.2%
-1.5 258 122-130-6 48.4%
-1 397 197-190-10 50.9%
-0.5 618 307-291-20 51.3%
0 948 451-474-23 48.8%
0.5 617 293-307-17 48.8%
1 326 154-165-7 48.3%
1.5 242 116-123-3 48.5%
2 270 135-128-7 51.3%
2.5 119 54-65-0 45.4%
3 77 33-40-4 45.2%
3.5 72 38-33-1 53.5%
4 59 25-32-2 43.9%
4.5 20 7-12-1 36.8%
5 22 12-10-0 54.5%
5.5 8 4-4-0 50.0%
6 6 4-2-0 66.7%
6.5 9 3-5-1 37.5%
7 2 0-2-0 0.0%
7.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
8 2 2-0-0 100.0%
8.5 4 3-1-0 75.0%
9.5 2 2-0-0 100.0%
11 1 0-1-0 0.0%
12.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.