We have opening and closing point spreads for 3519 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 1669-1760-90 and covered the spread 48.7% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-11.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-7.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-7 1 0-1-0 0.0%
-6.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
-6 1 0-1-0 0.0%
-5.5 4 3-1-0 75.0%
-5 3 1-2-0 33.3%
-4.5 9 2-7-0 22.2%
-4 3 1-2-0 33.3%
-3.5 16 5-10-1 33.3%
-3 48 22-26-0 45.8%
-2.5 112 55-55-2 50.0%
-2 169 75-86-8 46.6%
-1.5 191 89-99-3 47.3%
-1 292 148-139-5 51.6%
-0.5 469 232-222-15 51.1%
0 759 355-384-20 48.0%
0.5 498 236-246-16 49.0%
1 260 121-134-5 47.5%
1.5 197 86-109-2 44.1%
2 217 111-99-7 52.9%
2.5 89 42-47-0 47.2%
3 50 22-25-3 46.8%
3.5 49 26-23-0 53.1%
4 40 16-23-1 41.0%
4.5 13 5-7-1 41.7%
5 12 7-5-0 58.3%
5.5 2 2-0-0 100.0%
6 2 2-0-0 100.0%
6.5 4 1-2-1 33.3%
7 2 0-2-0 0.0%
7.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
11 1 0-1-0 0.0%
12.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.