We have opening and closing point spreads for 65757 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 32243-32223-1291 and covered the spread 50.0% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-6 31 18-13-0 58.1%
-5.5 30 18-12-0 60.0%
-5 66 34-28-4 54.8%
-4.5 95 47-46-2 50.5%
-4 193 104-86-3 54.7%
-3.5 341 170-169-2 50.1%
-3 730 357-359-14 49.9%
-2.5 1432 734-680-18 51.9%
-2 2717 1315-1345-57 49.4%
-1.5 4799 2380-2345-74 50.4%
-1 7502 3645-3685-172 49.7%
-0.5 9638 4673-4791-174 49.4%
0 13805 6802-6716-287 50.3%
0.5 8835 4274-4376-185 49.4%
1 6226 3072-3030-124 50.3%
1.5 3709 1813-1826-70 49.8%
2 2272 1128-1091-53 50.8%
2.5 1367 685-657-25 51.0%
3 867 411-439-17 48.4%
3.5 498 263-231-4 53.2%
4 289 153-134-2 53.3%
4.5 155 75-79-1 48.7%
5 94 42-50-2 45.7%
5.5 45 24-21-0 53.3%
6 21 6-14-1 30.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.