We have opening and closing point spreads for 59623 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 29259-29152-1212 and covered the spread 50.1% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-6 27 17-10-0 63.0%
-5.5 31 18-13-0 58.1%
-5 61 30-27-4 52.6%
-4.5 86 42-41-3 50.6%
-4 172 95-73-4 56.5%
-3.5 304 142-158-4 47.3%
-3 641 307-321-13 48.9%
-2.5 1293 668-610-15 52.3%
-2 2421 1154-1219-48 48.6%
-1.5 4413 2169-2161-83 50.1%
-1 6860 3331-3381-148 49.6%
-0.5 8948 4355-4440-153 49.5%
0 11866 5889-5704-273 50.8%
0.5 8244 3999-4076-169 49.5%
1 5747 2836-2788-123 50.4%
1.5 3452 1678-1694-80 49.8%
2 2056 1034-977-45 51.4%
2.5 1256 637-598-21 51.6%
3 765 367-381-17 49.1%
3.5 440 229-207-4 52.5%
4 251 130-120-1 52.0%
4.5 144 66-77-1 46.2%
5 87 39-46-2 45.9%
5.5 39 21-18-0 53.8%
6 19 6-12-1 33.3%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.