We have opening and closing point spreads for 58558 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 28749-28615-1194 and covered the spread 50.1% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-6 25 16-9-0 64.0%
-5.5 26 13-13-0 50.0%
-5 56 27-25-4 51.9%
-4.5 81 40-39-2 50.6%
-4 154 85-65-4 56.7%
-3.5 285 132-150-3 46.8%
-3 617 295-309-13 48.8%
-2.5 1256 648-593-15 52.2%
-2 2344 1119-1180-45 48.7%
-1.5 4303 2122-2101-80 50.2%
-1 6754 3289-3320-145 49.8%
-0.5 8834 4302-4379-153 49.6%
0 11727 5823-5633-271 50.8%
0.5 8148 3950-4031-167 49.5%
1 5669 2798-2749-122 50.4%
1.5 3391 1647-1664-80 49.7%
2 2007 1007-956-44 51.3%
2.5 1220 622-577-21 51.9%
3 740 350-373-17 48.4%
3.5 419 221-195-3 53.1%
4 233 122-110-1 52.6%
4.5 135 61-73-1 45.5%
5 80 37-41-2 47.4%
5.5 36 18-18-0 50.0%
6 18 5-12-1 29.4%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.