We have opening and closing point spreads for 82927 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 40624-40771-1532 and covered the spread 49.9% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-6 43 25-18-0 58.1%
-5.5 45 25-19-1 56.8%
-5 114 62-48-4 56.4%
-4.5 154 76-75-3 50.3%
-4 286 147-135-4 52.1%
-3.5 512 239-270-3 47.0%
-3 1043 506-517-20 49.5%
-2.5 2002 1008-972-22 50.9%
-2 3665 1805-1792-68 50.2%
-1.5 6156 3040-3023-93 50.1%
-1 9739 4691-4839-209 49.2%
-0.5 11894 5793-5893-208 49.6%
0 16939 8312-8302-325 50.0%
0.5 10715 5223-5275-217 49.8%
1 7924 3907-3870-147 50.2%
1.5 4534 2213-2244-77 49.7%
2 2892 1442-1386-64 51.0%
2.5 1705 842-833-30 50.3%
3 1152 555-575-22 49.1%
3.5 638 330-301-7 52.3%
4 377 186-187-4 49.9%
4.5 200 106-93-1 53.3%
5 113 53-58-2 47.7%
5.5 56 29-27-0 51.8%
6 29 9-19-1 32.1%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.