We have opening and closing point spreads for 56101 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 27602-27357-1142 and covered the spread 50.2% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-6 25 16-9-0 64.0%
-5.5 26 13-13-0 50.0%
-5 56 27-25-4 51.9%
-4.5 80 40-38-2 51.3%
-4 153 85-64-4 57.0%
-3.5 282 131-148-3 47.0%
-3 603 291-299-13 49.3%
-2.5 1229 636-578-15 52.4%
-2 2272 1086-1141-45 48.8%
-1.5 4167 2059-2031-77 50.3%
-1 6483 3162-3182-139 49.8%
-0.5 8379 4095-4140-144 49.7%
0 11126 5529-5340-257 50.9%
0.5 7809 3792-3856-161 49.6%
1 5425 2677-2632-116 50.4%
1.5 3274 1602-1595-77 50.1%
2 1928 974-913-41 51.6%
2.5 1181 605-556-20 52.1%
3 713 337-360-16 48.4%
3.5 403 210-190-3 52.5%
4 227 118-108-1 52.2%
4.5 127 57-69-1 45.2%
5 79 37-40-2 48.1%
5.5 36 18-18-0 50.0%
6 18 5-12-1 29.4%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.