We have opening and closing point spreads for 81302 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 39845-39933-1524 and covered the spread 49.9% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-6 43 25-18-0 58.1%
-5.5 45 25-19-1 56.8%
-5 114 62-48-4 56.4%
-4.5 154 76-75-3 50.3%
-4 285 147-134-4 52.3%
-3.5 512 239-270-3 47.0%
-3 1033 504-509-20 49.8%
-2.5 1993 1001-970-22 50.8%
-2 3577 1765-1744-68 50.3%
-1.5 6123 3025-3005-93 50.2%
-1 9488 4577-4704-207 49.3%
-0.5 11795 5739-5848-208 49.5%
0 16425 8077-8026-322 50.2%
0.5 10622 5179-5227-216 49.8%
1 7606 3746-3714-146 50.2%
1.5 4511 2202-2232-77 49.7%
2 2799 1395-1340-64 51.0%
2.5 1693 833-830-30 50.1%
3 1088 523-544-21 49.0%
3.5 638 330-301-7 52.3%
4 363 181-178-4 50.4%
4.5 200 106-93-1 53.3%
5 110 50-58-2 46.3%
5.5 56 29-27-0 51.8%
6 29 9-19-1 32.1%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.