Results Based on Overall Line Movement

Overall Line Movement of 3+ Toward Favorite
Opening Line # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 25 12-13-0 48.0%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 78 31-46-1 40.3%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 34 18-16-0 52.9%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 37 16-17-4 48.5%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 2 1-1-0 50.0%
Total 176 78-93-5 45.6%

Overall Line Movement of 2 or 2.5 Toward Favorite
Opening Line # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 77 37-34-6 52.1%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 141 66-72-3 47.8%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 83 38-43-2 46.9%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 36 15-21-0 41.7%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 12 8-3-1 72.7%
Total 349 164-173-12 48.7%

Overall Line Movement of 0.5 to 1.5 Toward Favorite
Opening Line # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 358 162-174-22 48.2%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 634 323-301-10 51.8%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 191 83-106-2 43.9%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 115 61-53-1 53.5%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 21 12-8-1 60.0%
Total 1319 641-642-36 50.0%

Closing Line Same As Opening Line
Opening Line # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 192 87-103-2 45.8%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 536 256-262-18 49.4%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 167 87-78-2 52.7%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 71 36-34-1 51.4%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 22 7-15-0 31.8%
Total 988 473-492-23 49.0%

Overall Line Movement of 0.5 to 1.5 Toward Underdog
Opening Line # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 124 60-63-1 48.8%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 689 332-340-17 49.4%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 265 127-131-7 49.2%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 135 59-71-5 45.4%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 37 15-22-0 40.5%
Total 1250 593-627-30 48.6%

Overall Line Movement of 2.0 to 2.5 Toward Underdog
Opening Line # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 95 49-44-2 52.7%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 190 90-97-3 48.1%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 87 41-44-2 48.2%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 32 19-13-0 59.4%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 2 0-2-0 0.0%
Total 406 199-200-7 49.9%

Overall Line Movement of 3+ Toward Underdog
Opening Line # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 177 89-86-2 50.9%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 81 35-41-5 46.1%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 24 12-12-0 50.0%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 31 11-18-2 37.9%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 2 1-1-0 50.0%
Total 315 148-158-9 48.4%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the direction and size of the line movement associated with each game, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite. Within the tables, each line represents a different range of opening spreads, from games with only a small opening favorite to games with a large favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.