NBA Odds Movement: Over/Under Results By Line Movement

We have opening and closing totals lines for 2731 games since the 2008 season. The Over-Under-Push record in those games based on the opening line was 1334-1356-41 which is 49.6% overs (ignoring pushes).

Historical Over/Under Movement Results

Movement	# Games	Over Record	Over %
8	1	1-0-0	100.0%
7	1	1-0-0	100.0%
6.5	1	1-0-0	100.0%
6	7	6-1-0	85.7%
5.5	10	5-5-0	50.0%
5	12	5-7-0	41.7%
4.5	27	13-14-0	48.1%
4	41	24-17-0	58.5%
3.5	55	30-24-1	55.6%
3	84	38-46-0	45.2%
2.5	104	60-44-0	57.7%
2	158	75-81-2	48.1%
1.5	213	106-106-1	50.0%
1	223	113-104-6	52.1%
0.5	291	141-144-6	49.5%
0	361	173-179-9	49.1%
-0.5	279	128-146-5	46.7%
-1	232	105-125-2	45.7%
-1.5	182	93-88-1	51.4%
-2	129	64-64-1	50.0%
-2.5	108	49-58-1	45.8%
-3	72	30-38-4	44.1%
-3.5	47	24-22-1	52.2%
-4	38	17-21-0	44.7%
-4.5	19	8-10-1	44.4%
-5	14	10-4-0	71.4%
-5.5	3	2-1-0	66.7%
-6	9	5-4-0	55.6%
-6.5	5	3-2-0	60.0%
-7	2	1-1-0	50.0%
-7.5	1	1-0-0	100.0%
-8.5	1	1-0-0	100.0%
-9	1	1-0-0	100.0%

About the Over/Under Movement Data

This table shows the number of games that went over the closing totals line, based on the difference between the opening and closing totals line.

For example, a "Movement" value of 3 means that the over/under line increased by three points between opening and closing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 50, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Negative "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the over/under line decreasing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 44, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3.

Over Record and Over % refer to the number of games that went over vs. under for each matching scenario, measured against the closing total. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Over %.