Results Based on Overall Line Movement

Overall Line Movement of 3+ Toward Favorite
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 341 175-160-6 52.2%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 437 225-203-9 52.6%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 225 108-113-4 48.9%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 216 99-115-2 46.3%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 523 265-253-5 51.2%
Total 1742 872-844-26 50.8%

Overall Line Movement of 2 or 2.5 Toward Favorite
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 1094 535-545-14 49.5%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 1411 714-676-21 51.4%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 628 314-302-12 51.0%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 502 270-223-9 54.8%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 731 354-361-16 49.5%
Total 4366 2187-2107-72 50.9%

Overall Line Movement of 0.5 to 1.5 Toward Favorite
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 5691 2794-2777-120 50.2%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 8552 4202-4175-175 50.2%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 3851 1909-1880-62 50.4%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 2977 1401-1526-50 47.9%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 2867 1339-1476-52 47.6%
Total 23938 11645-11834-459 49.6%

Closing Line Same As Opening Line
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 2732 1375-1300-57 51.4%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 4978 2503-2376-99 51.3%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 2660 1287-1316-57 49.4%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 2119 1029-1047-43 49.6%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 2525 1199-1275-51 48.5%
Total 15014 7393-7314-307 50.3%

Overall Line Movement of 0.5 to 1.5 Toward Underdog
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 2230 1130-1058-42 51.6%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 6999 3437-3416-146 50.2%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 4282 2117-2083-82 50.4%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 3781 1835-1869-77 49.5%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 3562 1710-1793-59 48.8%
Total 20854 10229-10219-406 50.0%

Overall Line Movement of 2.0 to 2.5 Toward Underdog
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 917 474-428-15 52.5%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 807 388-396-23 49.5%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 696 352-328-16 51.8%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 742 376-351-15 51.7%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 917 445-458-14 49.3%
Total 4079 2035-1961-83 50.9%

Overall Line Movement of 3+ Toward Underdog
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 1133 580-539-14 51.8%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 398 192-196-10 49.5%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 222 109-109-4 50.0%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 289 139-142-8 49.5%
Opening Favorite of 14+ 435 212-217-6 49.4%
Total 2477 1232-1203-42 50.6%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the direction and size of the line movement associated with each game, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite. Within the tables, each line represents a different range of opening spreads, from games with only a small opening favorite to games with a large favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.