NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OSU MD
Points 78.8 67.0
Total Points   145.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 22.8
Points From Free Throws 17.7 14.8
Shooting OSU MD
Field Goals Made 26.5 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 54.8
Field Goal % 50.4% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 59.7% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 17.7 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 21.1
Free Throw % 77.4% 70.0%
Ball Control OSU MD
Rebounds 31.5 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 11.6
Turnovers 8.0 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.9
Steals 4.5 3.9
Fouls 14.8 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OSU MD
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 68.3
% of Possessions with OSU MD
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 31.3%
Player Fouled 26.8% 22.1%
Turnover 11.9% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken OSU MD
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 32.1%