NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORE MD
Points 70.0 68.4
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 27.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 26.9
Points From Free Throws 15.9 13.8
Shooting ORE MD
Field Goals Made 23.2 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 57.4
Field Goal % 43.6% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 28.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 15.9 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 19.7
Free Throw % 74.0% 70.0%
Ball Control ORE MD
Rebounds 32.9 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 13.4
Turnovers 9.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.2
Steals 5.5 4.9
Fouls 12.8 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORE MD
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 70.0
% of Possessions with ORE MD
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 35.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 34.7%
Player Fouled 23.0% 19.2%
Turnover 13.9% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORE MD
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 35.5%