NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN MD
Points 70.1 64.7
Total Points   134.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 28.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 26.4
Points From Free Throws 13.5 10.2
Shooting MINN MD
Field Goals Made 23.7 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 51.0 54.6
Field Goal % 46.4% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 25.2 27.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 27.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 13.5 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 14.6
Free Throw % 70.5% 70.0%
Ball Control MINN MD
Rebounds 29.7 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 10.3
Turnovers 8.5 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.6
Steals 5.8 4.1
Fouls 12.1 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN MD
Total Possessions 64.5
Effective Scoring Chances 61.9 64.1
% of Possessions with MINN MD
2 Point Attempt 35.0% 36.2%
3 Point Attempt 35.9% 35.8%
Player Fouled 24.6% 18.8%
Turnover 13.2% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN MD
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 30.2%