NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).
Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND MD
Points 85.5 68.6
Total Points   154.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 19.9
Points From Free Throws 16.7 18.6
Shooting IND MD
Field Goals Made 28.7 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 55.4
Field Goal % 49.1% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.0 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 29.5 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 16.7 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 25.0
Free Throw % 77.9% 74.4%
Ball Control IND MD
Rebounds 36.5 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.3
Turnovers 10.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.0
Steals 5.2 4.1
Fouls 18.3 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND MD
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 71.2
% of Possessions with IND MD
2 Point Attempt 35.0% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 35.6% 27.6%
Player Fouled 23.1% 25.3%
Turnover 14.0% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND MD
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 27.6%