NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN MD
Points 72.7 69.5
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 29.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 25.7
Points From Free Throws 15.9 14.4
Shooting GTWN MD
Field Goals Made 24.7 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 56.5
Field Goal % 44.0% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 15.9 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 20.6
Free Throw % 74.6% 70.0%
Ball Control GTWN MD
Rebounds 33.2 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 12.6
Turnovers 8.1 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.2
Steals 5.8 4.0
Fouls 15.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN MD
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 69.7
% of Possessions with GTWN MD
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 36.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 32.9%
Player Fouled 22.8% 22.8%
Turnover 12.0% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN MD
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 34.5%