NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WASH MD
Points 76.0 68.3
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 24.7
Points From Free Throws 14.7 13.1
Shooting WASH MD
Field Goals Made 27.2 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 58.7
Field Goal % 47.0% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 14.7 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 18.8
Free Throw % 76.6% 70.0%
Ball Control WASH MD
Rebounds 35.9 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.4
Turnovers 8.1 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.0
Steals 5.1 4.0
Fouls 14.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WASH MD
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 70.1
% of Possessions with WASH MD
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 32.2%
Player Fouled 21.9% 20.7%
Turnover 11.9% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WASH MD
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 29.9%