NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU MD
Points 70.1 79.3
Total Points   149.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 22.3
Points From Free Throws 14.4 19.2
Shooting ODU MD
Field Goals Made 23.9 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 56.1
Field Goal % 42.5% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 14.4 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 27.4
Free Throw % 72.9% 70.0%
Ball Control ODU MD
Rebounds 28.4 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 12.2
Turnovers 9.2 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.3
Steals 4.8 4.8
Fouls 17.2 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU MD
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 73.1
% of Possessions with ODU MD
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 27.5%
Player Fouled 22.3% 24.4%
Turnover 13.1% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU MD
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 17.5% 35.4%