NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).
Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSM MD
Points 69.2 83.4
Total Points   152.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 32.3 24.6
Points From Free Throws 8.7 26.6
Shooting MSM MD
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 57.5
Field Goal % 44.3% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 26.8 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 29.3 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 8.7 26.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 35.5
Free Throw % 62.1% 74.9%
Ball Control MSM MD
Rebounds 34.8 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 12.2
Turnovers 17.0 7.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.4
Steals 3.4 8.0
Fouls 20.1 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSM MD
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 78.8
% of Possessions with MSM MD
2 Point Attempt 32.0% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 35.0% 29.4%
Player Fouled 17.3% 27.2%
Turnover 23.0% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 4.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSM MD
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 31.9%