NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSU MD
Points 72.5 69.8
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 26.3 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 30.2 25.8
Points From Free Throws 16.0 14.5
Shooting CSU MD
Field Goals Made 23.2 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 49.6 53.7
Field Goal % 46.8% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 23.9 27.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 16.0 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 20.7
Free Throw % 76.4% 70.0%
Ball Control CSU MD
Rebounds 29.0 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 11.7
Turnovers 9.8 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.0
Steals 4.8 4.9
Fouls 15.0 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSU MD
Total Possessions 65.2
Effective Scoring Chances 62.1 67.1
% of Possessions with CSU MD
2 Point Attempt 32.8% 35.0%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 34.1%
Player Fouled 26.4% 23.0%
Turnover 15.0% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSU MD
Shot Blocked 5.6% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 34.3%