NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).
Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNLV MD
Points 92.6 86.7
Total Points   179.3
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 28.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.0 21.8
Points From Free Throws 22.6 36.7
Shooting UNLV MD
Field Goals Made 30.3 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 50.6
Field Goal % 50.8% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 28.9
2 Point Shooting % 67.4% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.6 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 22.6 36.7
Free Throws Attempted 31.4 44.9
Free Throw % 71.8% 81.9%
Ball Control UNLV MD
Rebounds 39.8 28.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 20.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 8.2
Turnovers 14.3 12.3
Blocked Shots 7.1 1.6
Steals 5.1 6.0
Fouls 25.6 21.9

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +1.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNLV MD
Total Possessions 80.3
Effective Scoring Chances 80.5 76.2
% of Possessions with UNLV MD
2 Point Attempt 32.6% 31.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 23.8%
Player Fouled 27.3% 31.9%
Turnover 17.9% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNLV MD
Shot Blocked 3.3% 11.9%
Offensive Rebound 41.8% 24.5%