NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNLV MD
Points 76.0 73.4
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 23.9
Points From Free Throws 15.5 19.1
Shooting UNLV MD
Field Goals Made 26.3 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 54.1
Field Goal % 47.6% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 27.3
Free Throw % 67.6% 70.0%
Ball Control UNLV MD
Rebounds 31.7 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 11.8
Turnovers 9.4 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.9
Steals 6.2 4.3
Fouls 18.3 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNLV MD
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 70.8
% of Possessions with UNLV MD
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 27.0%
Player Fouled 24.3% 26.0%
Turnover 13.4% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNLV MD
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 33.4%