NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG MD
Points 65.9 77.0
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 29.1 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 25.5
Points From Free Throws 12.3 19.4
Shooting WAG MD
Field Goals Made 22.7 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 53.1
Field Goal % 41.1% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 43.0% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 12.3 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 27.4
Free Throw % 71.7% 70.8%
Ball Control WAG MD
Rebounds 30.8 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.4
Turnovers 10.6 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.5
Steals 4.1 5.2
Fouls 17.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Wagner

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG MD
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 70.2
% of Possessions with WAG MD
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 30.3%
Player Fouled 20.7% 26.5%
Turnover 15.7% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG MD
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 34.1%