NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD WIS
Points 70.1 82.7
Total Points   152.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 28.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.3 37.2
Points From Free Throws 12.5 17.3
Shooting MD WIS
Field Goals Made 24.4 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 57.7
Field Goal % 40.9% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 25.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 32.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 12.5 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 21.5
Free Throw % 70.0% 80.4%
Ball Control MD WIS
Rebounds 37.1 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 7.7
Turnovers 9.7 6.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.1
Steals 3.1 5.0
Fouls 16.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD WIS
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 69.9
% of Possessions with MD WIS
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 32.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 41.1%
Player Fouled 20.2% 23.7%
Turnover 14.1% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 4.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD WIS
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 23.1%