NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD UCLA
Points 66.7 78.6
Total Points   145.3
Points From 2-Pointers 25.7 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 25.6
Points From Free Throws 13.7 16.0
Shooting MD UCLA
Field Goals Made 21.9 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 55.5
Field Goal % 39.8% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 12.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 25.5 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.6 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 13.7 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 21.0
Free Throw % 70.0% 76.1%
Ball Control MD UCLA
Rebounds 35.7 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 7.9
Turnovers 11.2 6.8
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.9
Steals 3.4 5.7
Fouls 16.8 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD UCLA
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 67.8
% of Possessions with MD UCLA
2 Point Attempt 31.8% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 36.9% 28.1%
Player Fouled 21.2% 25.2%
Turnover 16.8% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD UCLA
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.1% 25.5%