NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).
Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD GONZ
Points 61.6 99.9
Total Points   161.5
Points From 2-Pointers 16.7 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 31.0
Points From Free Throws 27.7 14.1
Shooting MD GONZ
Field Goals Made 14.1 37.7
Field Goals Attempted 46.7 69.6
Field Goal % 30.1% 54.2%
2 Pointers Made 8.3 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 23.3 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 35.8% 66.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 24.5% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 27.7 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 33.9 20.7
Free Throw % 81.9% 67.8%
Ball Control MD GONZ
Rebounds 25.8 45.2
Rebounds - Defensive 19.7 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 16.3
Turnovers 18.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 0.8 9.6
Steals 4.0 7.1
Fouls 15.7 22.5

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD GONZ
Total Possessions 77.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 83.8
% of Possessions with MD GONZ
2 Point Attempt 26.6% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 30.2%
Player Fouled 29.0% 20.3%
Turnover 23.5% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD GONZ
Shot Blocked 13.8% 1.9%
Offensive Rebound 17.5% 45.3%