NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD ORE
Points 68.4 70.0
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 27.8 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 23.0
Points From Free Throws 13.7 15.9
Shooting MD ORE
Field Goals Made 22.9 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 53.2
Field Goal % 39.8% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 28.3 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 13.7 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 21.5
Free Throw % 70.0% 74.0%
Ball Control MD ORE
Rebounds 37.8 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 8.6
Turnovers 10.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.6
Steals 4.9 5.5
Fouls 15.3 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD ORE
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 66.1
% of Possessions with MD ORE
2 Point Attempt 35.7% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 30.6%
Player Fouled 19.2% 23.0%
Turnover 15.3% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD ORE
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 35.5% 26.0%