NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD ORE
Points 67.9 71.2
Total Points   139.1
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 24.3
Points From Free Throws 13.6 15.6
Shooting MD ORE
Field Goals Made 22.7 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 53.7
Field Goal % 39.4% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 13.6 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 21.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 73.5%
Ball Control MD ORE
Rebounds 37.4 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 8.8
Turnovers 10.3 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.7
Steals 4.9 5.4
Fouls 15.5 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD ORE
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 66.5
% of Possessions with MD ORE
2 Point Attempt 35.7% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.8% 31.1%
Player Fouled 19.2% 23.1%
Turnover 15.4% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD ORE
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 34.8% 26.7%