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Maryland at Illinois
Wed Jan 21, 2026
7:00pm ET
Champaign, IL
Maryland at Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois by 18.5, Total Points: 148.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MD | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-17-0 | 21-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-11-0 | 12-10-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 9-9-0 | 12-7-0 |
Maryland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Neutral | Coppin St | -28.5 | W by 22 | -6.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Georgetown | -5.0 | L by 10 | -15.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Alcorn St | -29.5 | W by 20 | -9.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Marquette | +8.5 | W by 7 | +15.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Mt St Mary's | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | UNLV | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +14.5 | L by 39 | -24.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Alabama | +14.5 | L by 33 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Wagner | -22.5 | W by 26 | +3.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Iowa | +10.5 | L by 19 | -8.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Michigan | +19.5 | L by 18 | +1.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Virginia | +16.5 | L by 8 | +8.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Old Dominion | -14.5 | W by 15 | +0.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Oregon | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Indiana | +8.0 | L by 18 | -10.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | UCLA | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | USC | +9.5 | L by 17 | -7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 23 | +21.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Illinois | +18.5 | L by 19 | -0.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Michigan St | +18.5 | L by 43 | -24.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Purdue | +14.5 | L by 30 | -15.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Ohio St | +6.5 | L by 20 | -13.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Minnesota | +10.0 | W by 5 | +15.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Iowa | +11.0 | W by 7 | +18.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Northwestern | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Washington | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Nebraska | +16.5 | L by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Rutgers | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Wisconsin | +14.5 | L by 33 | -18.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | Illinois | +14.5 | L by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Oregon | +3.5 | W by 10 | +13.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Iowa | +11.5 | L by 11 | +0.5 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Jackson St | -29.0 | W by 58 | +29.0 |
| 11/07 | Home | FGCU | -28.5 | W by 43 | +14.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Texas Tech | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Colgate | -30.5 | W by 19 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | LIU | -33.0 | W by 40 | +7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | UT Rio Grande | -33.0 | W by 14 | -19.0 |
| 11/28 | Neutral | UConn | +4.5 | L by 13 | -8.5 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | Tennessee | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Ohio St | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Nebraska | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -8.5 | W by 43 | +34.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Southern | -33.5 | W by 35 | +1.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Penn St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Rutgers | -23.0 | W by 26 | +3.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Iowa | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Northwestern | -9.5 | W by 11 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Minnesota | -15.0 | W by 10 | -5.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Maryland | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Washington | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Nebraska | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Northwestern | -15.5 | W by 40 | +24.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Michigan St | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -9.5 | L by 2 | -11.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Indiana | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | USC | -10.0 | W by 36 | +26.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | UCLA | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Michigan | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Oregon | -17.5 | W by 26 | +8.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Maryland | -14.5 | W by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Penn | -25.5 | W by 35 | +9.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | VCU | -11.5 | W by 21 | +9.5 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | Houston | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| ILL -18.5 | Open | -19.0 | High | -19.5 |
| Last | -19.0 | Low | -18.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 786 games where the closing line favored the home team by 17.5 to 19.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois won the game 753 times (95.8%).
- The team like Maryland won the game 33 times (4.2%).
- The team like Maryland did better against the spread, going 397-381-8 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4285 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 2135-2076-74 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -18.5 | -18.5 | -- |
| Open | -19.5 | -19.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/21 09:33 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 06:24 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 01:05 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 01/21 01:00 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 11:52 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 10:25 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 01/20 10:05 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 01/20 10:00 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 09:25 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 01/20 07:16 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 06:42 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 05:50 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 04:12 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
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