NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).
Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD MARQ
Points 75.4 81.7
Total Points   157.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 29.1
Points From Free Throws 18.9 14.4
Shooting MD MARQ
Field Goals Made 24.4 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 67.1
Field Goal % 43.3% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 18.9 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 20.3
Free Throw % 74.9% 71.3%
Ball Control MD MARQ
Rebounds 38.4 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 13.3
Turnovers 14.9 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.3
Steals 4.7 9.1
Fouls 15.7 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD MARQ
Total Possessions 77.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 80.3
% of Possessions with MD MARQ
2 Point Attempt 36.9% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 35.1%
Player Fouled 23.2% 20.3%
Turnover 19.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD MARQ
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 31.9%