NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD MARQ
Points 70.8 74.5
Total Points   145.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 28.2
Points From Free Throws 14.2 13.0
Shooting MD MARQ
Field Goals Made 24.1 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 58.9
Field Goal % 41.8% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 14.2 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 19.9
Free Throw % 70.8% 65.5%
Ball Control MD MARQ
Rebounds 41.4 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 8.7
Turnovers 13.0 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.3
Steals 4.5 7.9
Fouls 15.5 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD MARQ
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 70.7
% of Possessions with MD MARQ
2 Point Attempt 36.9% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 34.7%
Player Fouled 20.6% 21.9%
Turnover 18.4% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD MARQ
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 36.6% 23.7%