NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD MINN
Points 64.7 70.1
Total Points   134.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 27.8
Points From Free Throws 10.2 13.5
Shooting MD MINN
Field Goals Made 22.9 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 51.0
Field Goal % 41.9% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 27.5 25.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 10.2 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 19.1
Free Throw % 70.0% 70.5%
Ball Control MD MINN
Rebounds 34.7 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 6.0
Turnovers 10.7 8.5
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.5
Steals 4.1 5.8
Fouls 15.9 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD MINN
Total Possessions 64.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 61.9
% of Possessions with MD MINN
2 Point Attempt 36.2% 35.0%
3 Point Attempt 35.8% 35.9%
Player Fouled 18.8% 24.6%
Turnover 16.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD MINN
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 19.7%