NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD RUTG
Points 70.9 70.5
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 19.5
Points From Free Throws 14.1 17.1
Shooting MD RUTG
Field Goals Made 24.3 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 55.5
Field Goal % 43.5% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 14.1 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 23.0
Free Throw % 70.0% 74.4%
Ball Control MD RUTG
Rebounds 38.7 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.5
Turnovers 11.3 7.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.3
Steals 3.8 5.5
Fouls 16.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD RUTG
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 68.8
% of Possessions with MD RUTG
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 25.1%
Player Fouled 20.7% 24.9%
Turnover 16.7% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD RUTG
Shot Blocked 6.0% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.8% 24.3%