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Maryland at Michigan St
Sat Jan 24, 2026
12:00pm ET
East Lansing, MI
Maryland at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan State by 18.5, Total Points: 139.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MD | adv | MSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-16-0 | 14-13-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-10-0 | 10-7-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-8-0 | 7-8-1 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 7-5-1 |
Maryland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Neutral | Coppin St | -28.5 | W by 22 | -6.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Georgetown | -5.0 | L by 10 | -15.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Alcorn St | -29.5 | W by 20 | -9.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Marquette | +8.5 | W by 7 | +15.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Mt St Mary's | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | UNLV | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +14.5 | L by 39 | -24.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Alabama | +14.5 | L by 33 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Wagner | -22.5 | W by 26 | +3.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Iowa | +10.5 | L by 19 | -8.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Michigan | +19.5 | L by 18 | +1.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Virginia | +16.5 | L by 8 | +8.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Old Dominion | -14.5 | W by 15 | +0.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Oregon | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Indiana | +8.0 | L by 18 | -10.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | UCLA | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | USC | +9.5 | L by 17 | -7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 23 | +21.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Illinois | +18.5 | L by 19 | -0.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Michigan St | +18.5 | L by 43 | -24.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Purdue | +14.5 | L by 30 | -15.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Ohio St | +6.5 | L by 20 | -13.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Minnesota | +10.0 | W by 5 | +15.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Iowa | +11.0 | W by 7 | +18.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Northwestern | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Washington | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Nebraska | +16.5 | L by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Rutgers | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Colgate | -22.0 | W by 11 | -11.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Arkansas | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | San Jose St | -24.5 | W by 19 | -5.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 17 | +20.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Detroit Mercy | -30.5 | W by 28 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | E Carolina | -20.0 | W by 33 | +13.0 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | North Carolina | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Iowa | -4.5 | W by 19 | +14.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Duke | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Penn St | -12.5 | W by 4 | -8.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Toledo | -23.0 | W by 23 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oakland | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Cornell | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Nebraska | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | USC | -12.0 | W by 29 | +17.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Northwestern | -13.0 | W by 10 | -3.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 21 | +14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Washington | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Oregon | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Maryland | -18.5 | W by 43 | +24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Rutgers | -14.5 | W by 9 | -5.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Minnesota | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Illinois | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | UCLA | -8.0 | W by 23 | +15.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Ohio St | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | Purdue | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Indiana | -2.5 | W by 13 | +10.5 |
| MSU -18.5 | Open | -18.5 | High | -19.5 |
| Last | -19.5 | Low | -17.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 762 games where the closing line favored the home team by 17.5 to 19.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan State won the game 729 times (95.7%).
- The team like Maryland won the game 33 times (4.3%).
- The team like Maryland did better against the spread, going 383-371-8 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3358 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 1680-1626-52 (50.8% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -18.5 | -18.5 | -- |
| Open | -18.5 | -18.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/24 12:37 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 03:52 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 02:57 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 01/24 01:16 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 12:38 AM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 01/23 10:59 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 08:14 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:51 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 01/23 05:56 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 01:21 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
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