NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD NW
Points 65.8 73.1
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 20.0
Points From Free Throws 14.5 16.0
Shooting MD NW
Field Goals Made 21.8 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 53.6
Field Goal % 40.1% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 14.5 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 21.0
Free Throw % 70.0% 76.1%
Ball Control MD NW
Rebounds 37.6 29.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 7.1
Turnovers 11.4 7.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.3
Steals 3.5 5.4
Fouls 15.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD NW
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 66.0
% of Possessions with MD NW
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 25.2%
Player Fouled 21.7% 23.8%
Turnover 17.3% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD NW
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 37.7% 22.9%