NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MICH MD
Points 86.2 59.9
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 22.8
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 26.0
Points From Free Throws 18.7 11.0
Shooting MICH MD
Field Goals Made 29.1 20.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 62.0
Field Goal % 52.3% 32.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 11.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 61.9% 36.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 30.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 28.0%
Free Throws Made 18.7 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 15.8
Free Throw % 76.6% 70.0%
Ball Control MICH MD
Rebounds 41.2 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 32.4 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.4
Turnovers 9.0 10.5
Blocked Shots 5.2 3.2
Steals 5.1 4.3
Fouls 12.5 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH MD
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 71.3
% of Possessions with MICH MD
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 36.9%
Player Fouled 25.5% 17.8%
Turnover 12.8% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MICH MD
Shot Blocked 5.3% 9.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 26.1%