NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).
Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MICH MD
Points 102.4 61.3
Total Points   163.7
Points From 2-Pointers 49.4 20.9
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 26.2
Points From Free Throws 15.5 14.2
Shooting MICH MD
Field Goals Made 37.2 19.2
Field Goals Attempted 64.1 65.1
Field Goal % 58.0% 29.5%
2 Pointers Made 24.7 10.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 70.0% 29.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 28.8 29.8
3 Point Shooting % 43.3% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 15.5 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 19.2
Free Throw % 73.3% 74.3%
Ball Control MICH MD
Rebounds 47.7 29.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 19.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.9
Turnovers 11.5 13.2
Blocked Shots 9.0 2.0
Steals 6.6 4.8
Fouls 15.2 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH MD
Total Possessions 78.5
Effective Scoring Chances 77.5 75.1
% of Possessions with MICH MD
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 32.4%
Player Fouled 21.7% 19.4%
Turnover 14.6% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MICH MD
Shot Blocked 3.2% 14.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 21.0%