NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MICH MD
Points 88.6 60.2
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 23.5
Points From 3-Pointers 29.3 25.1
Points From Free Throws 19.3 11.6
Shooting MICH MD
Field Goals Made 29.7 20.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 61.7
Field Goal % 52.2% 32.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 11.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 63.0% 37.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 30.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 27.4%
Free Throws Made 19.3 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 16.3
Free Throw % 76.5% 70.8%
Ball Control MICH MD
Rebounds 41.5 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 31.7 20.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 11.8
Turnovers 9.1 11.6
Blocked Shots 5.4 3.3
Steals 5.1 4.3
Fouls 13.0 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH MD
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 71.5
% of Possessions with MICH MD
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 36.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 35.8%
Player Fouled 25.6% 18.3%
Turnover 12.8% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MICH MD
Shot Blocked 5.4% 9.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 27.0%